PDF Attached does not include daily estimate of funds

 

Private
exporters reported sales of 120,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations during the 2021/2022 marketing year.

 

Soybean
complex traded two-sided. The higher trade in soybeans reflected South American weather concerns and rising Brazil premiums. Corn and wheat ended higher. Wheat led the grains higher from strong global import demand and concerns over a potential Russian invasion. 

 

CME
is raising margins for several CBOT products. 

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2022/02/Chadv22-054.html

 

Weather

Map

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Map

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World
Weather Inc.

WEATHER
EVENTS AND FEATURES TO WATCH

  • Argentina,
    southern Brazil and Paraguay will continue struggling for the kind of moisture that would stop declining crop moisture and crop conditions during the next week
    • Weather
      patterns are not suggesting enough good soaking rainfall to fix the region’s moisture deficits, but there will be some rain infrequently enough to slow the declining trend for some areas
    • A
      general soaking of rain is needed and with Argentina’s late crop reproducing and filling over the next few weeks this is an extremely important time for rain
  • Argentina’s
    soil moisture is still well rated in Buenos Aires, southern Cordoba, northeastern La Pampa, parts of San Luis and far southern Santa Fe which includes a large amount of 2022 crop, but dryness to the north and east is still a serious concern
  • Cotton
    areas in northern Argentina and Paraguay are too dry, but rain reported earlier this month did offer a short term boost in crop development
  • Safrinha
    cotton and corn areas in Mato Grosso are experiencing good crop weather, but some of the Safrinha crop areas in western Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul are drying down once again and rain will have to fall soon to protect development
  • Coffee,
    citrus and sugarcane production areas in Brazil are still rated favorably with little change likely over the next ten days
  • Brazil’s
    center west and northern parts of its center south region will continue to see frequent rainfall keeping some of the harvest progress and other fieldwork moving along a little sluggishly
    • Less
      frequent and less significant rain is expected next week that will start to improve the moisture profile and support better field working conditions in those areas that have been too wet
  • Ecuador,
    Peru and Colombia crop areas will continue to see frequent rain over the next week maintaining moisture abundance for some areas and raising soil moisture in other areas
  • U.S.
    weather has not changed much in the general theme; however, today’s forecast brings some much needed snowfall to the northwestern Plains and southwestern parts of Canada’s Prairies beginning late this weekend into Monday
  • U.S.
    lower and eastern Midwest, portions of the Delta, Tennessee River Basin and northwestern parts of the southeastern States will see frequent storm systems over the next two weeks
    • Some
      of the region is expected to become too wet and that will result in some rising flood potentials especially with next week’s storm system
  • California
    will continue to see less than usual precipitation, although a little snowfall is expected periodically in the mountains over the next couple of weeks
    • Resulting
      moisture totals will be below normal
  • U.S.
    Pacific Northwest will see periods of light precipitation with the mountains getting nearly all of the significant moisture
  • U.S.
    hard red winter wheat production areas are getting some snowfall today and will do so again with another storm during the middle to latter part of next week
    • Both
      events will not produce substantial moisture in the high Plains, but a little improvement in topsoil moisture may occur after each event’s snow melts
    • Eastern
      parts of hard red winter wheat country will see greater volumes of moisture supporting future crop development when seasonal warming occurs
  • West
    Texas is not likely to get much precipitation this week, although a few showers are possible briefly today
    • Another
      opportunity for rain is expected one week later on Feb. 23-24
      • Moisture
        from this latter event should be light as well
  • Spain
    and Portugal need greater rainfall of their unirrigated winter and spring crops. Dryness could fester into a larger problem in the next few weeks as new crop development begins
    • Not
      much rain is expected for at least the next ten days
  • Northwestern
    Africa continues too dry and any rain that evolves will be restricted over the week
    • Morocco
      is driest with a cut in area planted in the southwest because of a multi-year drought and no irrigation water
    • North-central
      Morocco crops were favorably established in the autumn, but are dry now and will need significant moisture soon to support aggressive crop development ahead of spring reproduction
    • Northeastern
      Morocco and northwestern Algeria are also quite dry and poised to suffer a production cut without significant rain soon
    • Northeastern
      Algeria and Tunisia winter wheat and barley are best established and have the greatest potential for high yields as long as timely rain falls over the next few weeks
    • There
      is some potential for a boost in precipitation during the middle part of next week, but initial rainfall is expected to be too light for a serious increase in topsoil moisture
  • Middle
    East winter crop conditions have improved in recent weeks because of a short term boost in precipitation, but more rain is needed to ensure the best possible production
  • Most
    of Europe outside of the Iberian Peninsula and parts of Romania are favorably moist with routinely occurring precipitation in the next ten days supporting status quo winter crop conditions.
    • Greater
      rain must occur soon for Spain and Portugal and at some time in the next few weeks in Romania to prevent dryness from threatening early season crop development
  • Western
    Russia, northwestern Ukraine, Belarus and Baltic States have abundant soil moisture underneath a significant accumulation of snow
    • Flood
      potentials may be high for the spring this year if the region heats up too fast and all of the snow melts over a short period of time
  • There
    is no threatening cold temperatures expected in Europe or any part of Europe during the next ten days to two weeks
  • Kazakhstan
    and southern Russia’s New Lands will receive only light amounts of precipitation in the next ten days, but any moisture would be welcome for improved topsoil conditions in the spring
    • Recent
      snowfall has changed the early spring moisture outlook at least a little, but the region still has moisture deficits left over from drought last summer and greater precipitation will be needed in the spring.
  • India
    precipitation will be limited to a few sporadic very light showers during the next ten days except in the far north and extreme east where some moderate rain may impact a few areas
    • The
      bulk of winter crops in the nation are poised to perform well barring no excessive heat in the next few weeks
    • At
      least one more timely rain event would help push yields high than usual
  • Xinjiang,
    China reported some light snow in the far northeast and in the mountains of the north and west earlier this month, but the region is expected to be dry biased again for the next ten days
    • Much
      more precipitation is needed to induce better soil conditions and improved runoff potentials for irrigation water during the spring and summer
  • China’s
    most recent precipitation has been concentrated on the Yangtze River Basin and areas south to the coast
    • The
      region is plenty wet, if not a little too wet
      • Some
        drying would be welcome
    • Additional
      waves of precipitation will continue to come and go through the next ten days to two weeks
      • Resulting
        precipitation will maintain a wet environment for rapeseed and future rice and corn planting
    • Temperatures
      will be near to below average in most of the nation this week
  • Australia’s
    summer crop areas in the east will be dry or mostly dry away from the Pacific Coast into the weekend and temperatures will continue near to above average
    • Rain
      late in the weekend and next week should increase in the form of scattered showers and thunderstorms in both Queensland and northeastern New South Wales
      • The
        precipitation will be erratic benefiting some areas more than others
  • South
    Africa rainfall will increase through the weekend and then most of next week will be dry biased
    • The
      moisture boost will be welcome for some areas after recent drying
      • The
        drying was more beneficial than detrimental, though, as parts of the nation have been a little too wet at times this growing season
    • Temperatures
      will be seasonable
  • West-central
    Africa coffee and cocoa production areas experienced some increase in shower activity during the weekend, dry weather has occurred since then
    • Additional
      showers are expected in the coming week that may stimulate a few areas of localized flowering, but most of the precipitation will be too light and sporadic to have much impact on crops
      • The
        rainy season is expected to begin relatively well with March wetter than late February
        • Late
          February rainfall is expected to be sporadic and mostly light with much of it near the coast only
  • East-central
    Africa precipitation has been and will continue to be most significant in Tanzania which is normal for this time of year.
    • Ethiopia
      is dry biased along with northern Uganda and that is also normal
  • Southeast
    Asia precipitation will continue erratic from one day to the next, but most of Indonesia and Malaysia precipitation will continue frequent and abundant
    • Mainland
      areas of Southeast Asia seem poised to see an early start to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the next couple of weeks with next week wettest
  • Today’s
    Southern Oscillation Index is +10.60 
    • The
      index will move lower over the next seven days
  • Mexico
    will experience seasonable temperatures and a limited amount of rainfall during the coming week
  • Central
    America precipitation will be greatest along the Caribbean Coast during the next seven to ten days
    • Guatemala
      will also get some showers periodically

Source:
World Weather Inc.

 

Bloomberg
Ag Calendar

Friday,
Feb. 18:

  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report, ~1:30pm
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm
  • FranceAgriMer
    weekly crop condition report

Source:
Bloomberg and FI

 

 

USDA
Export Sales

USDA
Export Sales were all within expectations with exception of new-crop soybeans slightly topping the high end of a range.  Year to date commitments for soybeans, corn, wheat, and soybean oil are still lagging year ago. 

 

USDA
export sales for soybeans of 1,361,800 MT included unknown destinations (371,700 MT), China (224,500 MT, including decreases of 2,300 MT), and the Netherlands (188,300 MT, including 112,600 MT switched from unknown destinations). New crop sales were a large
1,526,000 MT and included China (876,000 MT), unknown destinations (530,000 MT), and Egypt (106,000 MT).

 

Soybean
meal sales were 279,100 MT and included the Philippines, Ecuador and Morocco.  Shipments were 187,900 tons. Soybean oil sales of 35,400 significantly improved and were highest since December 16. That included the 30,000 ton unknow sale we though was for India. 
Shipments were 33,300 tons, also excellent.

 

CBOT
corn export sales of 820,000 tons for 2021-22 and 113,500 tons for new-crop were within expectations.  Japan and Mexico were largest buyers for both crop years. China was not mentioned in the text.  Sorghum sales of 148,400 MT for 2021-22 were up 5 percent
from the previous week, but down 42 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for China (208,400 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations).  Pork sales of 18,300 MT for 2022 were down 46 percent from the prior 4-weekaverage. 

 

All-wheat
USDA export sales of 118,100 tons were within expectations but still very low for this time of year.  The slowdown in wheat commitments (past three weeks) has increased the gap from year to date commitments of 642 million bushels against previous year of 860
million, down 25 percent. 

 

 

 

Macros

US
Initial Jobless Claims Feb 12: 248K (est 218K; prev 223K; prevR 225K)


US Continuing Claims Feb 5: 1593K (est 1605K; prev 1621K; prevR 1619K)

7:36:08
AM livesquawk US Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Feb: 16.0 (est 20.0; prev 23.2)

US
Housing Starts Jan: 1638K (est 1695K; prev 1702K; prevR 1708K)


Housing Starts (M/M) Jan: -4.1% (est -0.4%; prev 1.4%; prevR 0.3%)

US
Building Permits Jan: 1899K (est 1750K; prev 1873K; prevR 1885K)


Building Permits (M/M) Jan: 0.7% (est -7.2%; prev 9.1%; prevR 9.8%)

 

US
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (BCF) 11-Feb: -190 (est -195; prev -222)


Salt Dome Cavern NatGas Stocks (BCF): -34 (prev -24)

 

Argentina
Interest Rates- ARS …ARS CB hikes rates 250bps to 42.5% vs 40%.

 

Corn

·        
CBOT corn futures ended 2.50-4.25 cents higher on strength in wheat and renewed concerns over Ukraine/Russia tensions.  USDA export sales were good. 

·        
The International Grains Council (IGC) – global corn production 1.203 billion tons, down 4 million tons from previous.

·        
The US generated 1.21 billion ethanol D6 blending credits in January, down from 1.30 billion during December.  Year earlier 1.077 billion were generated. 

·        
March options expire Friday.

 

Export
developments.

  • Results
    awaited: Iran’s SLAL seeks up to 60,000 tons of animal feed barley, 60,000 tons of feed corn and 60,000 tons of soymeal.  Shipment for all the grains and soymeal was sought in February and March.  On Feb. 11 they passed on 60,000 tons of feed barley and 60,000
    tons of soymeal.

 

Updated
2/11/22

March
corn is seen in a $6.15 and $6.85 range

December
corn is seen in a wide $5.25-$7.00 range

 

Soybeans

·        
In a two-sided trade, soybeans settled 4.40-5.25 cents higher in part to follow through buying amid South American weather concerns. USDA reported 120,000 tons of soybeans were sold to unknown for 2021-22 delivery.  USDA export
sales were good for the soybean complex. 

·        
Soybean meal settled $0.20 lower for March, $0.20 higher for May and $0.70 higher for July.  Back months were up more than $1.00.  SA supply concerns underpinned the back months. 

·        
Soybean oil ended 16 points lower for March and higher in the back months. Sharply lower WTI crude oil weighed on front month contracts. 

·        
The US generated 355 million biodiesel D4 blending credits in January, down from 584 million during December.  For January 2021, EIA reported 300.2 million RINs were generated.  January 2022 is on the low side, in our opinion. 
We will have to wait a couple months to verify and see if renewable biodiesel contributed to an increase in production from January 2021. 

·        
Brazil’ Rio Grande do Sul into Mato Grosso do Sul will see less than an inch of rain through next Wednesday. Mato Grosso in Bahia will see too much rain during that period. Argentina rainfall amounts over the next week vary with
nothing to 2 inches locally.  The heavier rain for Argentina will occur towards the end of the month.  Overall southern Brazil and Argentina remain of concern. 

Diagram

Description automatically generated

·        
Bloomberg noted as many as 10 cargos of soybeans have been washed out to China from Brazil but, premiums would say otherwise as they remain very firm.

·        
AgriCensus noted Brazil soybean oil “basis premiums surged to 5.7 ct/lb above soyoil futures on CBOT, firming nearly 600 points since the start of the month, and resulting in flat prices to reach $1,573/mt FOB.”

·        
March options expire Friday. 

·        
The soybean processor in Claypool, IN that had a fire earlier this week was back up and receiving deliveries today. 

·        
CNGOIC reported China’s crush volume totaled 660,000 tons last week, up sharply from 150,000 during the New Year holiday but well of 1.5 million for the comparable period year ago.  They were just ramping up volume, which is now
expected to increase back to a normal level, around 1.7 million tons, according to AgriCensus citing CNGOIC. 

 

University
of Illinois – 2021 Was a Devastating Year for Biodiesel Production Profits

Irwin,
S. “2021 Was a Devastating Year for Biodiesel Production Profits.”
farmdoc
daily

(12):21, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, February 16, 2022.

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/02/2021-was-a-devastating-year-for-biodiesel-production-profits.html

 

 

Export
Developments

  • Private
    exporters reported sales of 120,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations during the 2021/2022 marketing year.
  • Results
    awaited: Iran’s SLAL seeks up to 60,000 tons of animal feed barley, 60,000 tons of feed corn and 60,000 tons of soymeal.  Shipment for all the grains and soymeal was sought in February and March.  On Feb. 11 they passed on 60,000 tons of feed barley and 60,000
    tons of soymeal.
  • Turkey
    seeks 6,000 tons of sunflower oil on February 23 for shipment between March 2 and March 25.

 

 

Updated
2/15/22

Soybeans
– March $14.75-$16.50

Soybeans
– November is seen in a wide $12.00-$15.75 range

Soybean
meal – March $420-$480

Soybean
oil – March 64.00-6
8.00

 

Wheat

·        
US wheat futures settled sharply higher on renewed Ukraine/Russia tensions, sizeable increase in global import demand, and higher EU wheat futures. Egypt bought 180,000 tons of Romanian wheat. 

·        
Despite ample offers in Egypt’s import tender for wheat today, May EU wheat futures traded up 2.25 euros at 368.25 euros per ton.  But Russia/Ukraine tensions and Algeria picking up around 700,000 tons of wheat supported EU wheat. 

·        
All-wheat USDA export sales of 118,100 tons were within expectations but still very low for this time of year.  The slowdown in wheat commitments (past three weeks) has increased the gap from year to date commitments of 642 million
bushels against previous year of 860 million, down 25 percent. 

·        
The International Grains Council (IGC) – global wheat production 781 million tons, unchanged.

·        
India projected a record wheat crop of 111.3 million tons for the current local marketing year, ending June 2020.  The five year average is 103.9 million tons. 

·        
A major US winter storm is underway, with rain, ice and snow expected a large portion of the lower central Great Plains and eastern US. 48-hour precipitation outlook below.  The lower ECB will see additional precipitation mid
next week. 

 

Export
Developments.

·        
Egypt bought 180,000 tons of Romanian wheat at $318/ton fob ($338.55 CIF) for shipment April 1–10. 

·        
Algeria bought 700,000 tons of wheat at $346.50-$345.50/ton. They were in for optional origin for April shipment. They last bought wheat on Jan 26, paying around $375/ton. 

·        
The Philippines bought around 45,000 tons of feed wheat from Australia around $330-$340/ton for shipment in June and July.

·        
Japan bought 54,692 tons of food wheat from the US. Original details as follows:

·        
Taiwan seeks 54,920 tons of US wheat on February 18, for April 4-18 shipment if off the PNW.

·        
Turkey seeks 255,000 tons of feed barley on February 22. Shipment is sought for March 1-31.

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of feed barley on February 22 for late July through FH September shipment. 

·        
Jordan’s state grain buyer seeks 120,000 tons of milling wheat, optional origins, on Feb. 23, with shipment in 60,000 ton consignments, for July 16-31, Aug. 1-15, Aug. 16-31 and Sept. 1-15. They also seek 120,000 tons of feed
barley on Feb. 22.

 

Rice/Other

·        
Reuters: Vietnam’s 5% broken rice was offered at $400 per ton on Thursday, the highest since mid-December and up from $395 a week ago. India’s 5% broken parboiled variety was unchanged at $368-$374 per ton.

South
Korea seeks 72,200 tons rice from U.S. and Vietnam on Feb. 25.

 

Updated
2/2/22

Chicago
March $7.25 to $8.30 range

KC
March $7.45 to $8.55 range

MN
March $8.75‐$10.00

 

 

 

 

 

USDA Export Sales

U.S. EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING  2/10/2022

 

 

CURRENT MARKETING YEAR

NEXT MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

WEEKLY EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED EXPORTS

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR

AGO

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR

AGO

 

THOUSAND METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   HRW    

72.1

1,825.4

1,430.9

183.3

5,140.9

6,448.1

0.0

67.8

   SRW    

14.2

610.9

439.0

55.7

1,963.4

1,264.0

10.5

135.6

   HRS     

25.0

1,119.6

2,057.9

87.8

3,554.0

4,906.5

0.0

61.0

   WHITE   

5.7

618.3

2,476.4

84.9

2,464.0

3,715.8

0.0

67.0

   DURUM  

1.0

55.6

172.2

0.0

113.1

492.9

0.0

47.0

     TOTAL

118.1

4,229.8

6,576.3

411.6

13,235.3

16,827.5

10.5

378.4

BARLEY

0.0

13.8

12.6

0.0

14.7

20.0

0.0

0.0

CORN

820.0

24,199.8

35,584.7

1,617.6

22,332.7

22,969.6

113.5

1,565.5

SORGHUM

148.4

4,119.3

3,094.1

141.6

2,385.7

2,837.0

-53.0

0.0

SOYBEANS

1,361.8

9,311.7

9,178.4

1,213.0

38,809.9

50,460.9

1,526.0

4,499.3

SOY MEAL

279.1

3,317.8

2,913.2

187.9

4,683.3

4,871.8

40.0

174.7

SOY OIL

35.4

171.5

193.1

33.3

351.5

395.0

0.0

0.0

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   L G RGH

12.2

299.3

271.9

19.6

728.0

899.3

0.0

0.0

   M S RGH

0.0

9.4

11.7

0.2

4.3

17.2

0.0

0.0

   L G BRN

0.5

19.9

13.1

0.5

29.1

23.6

0.0

0.0

   M&S BR

0.0

45.1

97.3

22.4

40.4

54.4

0.0

0.0

   L G MLD

10.6

76.2

88.0

18.1

483.6

356.4

0.0

0.0

   M S MLD

0.7

179.2

223.5

1.6

217.8

282.1

0.0

0.0

     TOTAL

24.0

629.2

705.5

62.4

1,503.2

1,633.0

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

158.5

7,861.6

5,700.8

270.0

4,472.8

7,460.1

34.7

1,844.5

   PIMA

3.1

197.6

276.0

4.6

205.3

412.8

0.0

12.6

 

This
summary is based on reports from exporters for the period February 4-10, 2022.

Wheat:  Net
sales of 118,100 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 39 percent from the previous week, but down 61 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Guatemala (38,300 MT switched from unknown destinations), Mexico (28,100 MT), Japan (26,000
MT), Colombia (18,500 MT), and El Salvador (8,200 MT switched from unknown destinations), were offset by reductions for unknown destinations (21,500 MT).  Total net sales for 2022/2023 of 10,500 MT were for Peru.  Exports of 411,600 MT were up 8 percent from
the previous week and 9 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (93,800 MT), Taiwan (67,900 MT), the Philippines (62,900 MT), Thailand (57,700 MT), and Japan (43,400 MT). 

Corn: 
Net sales of 820,000 MT for 2021/2022 were up 39 percent from the previous week, but down 23 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Japan (600,200 MT, including 175,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 700 MT),
Mexico (103,300 MT, including decreases of 38,600 MT), Canada (45,600 MT), the Dominican Republic (40,000 MT), and Colombia (32,500 MT, including decreases of 32,000 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (68,900 MT).  Net sales
of 113,500 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for Mexico (90,000 MT) and Japan (23,500 MT). 
Exports of 1,617,600 MT–a marketing-year high–were up 41 percent from the previous week and 28 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (477,300 MT, including 136,300 MT – late), China (413,600 MT), Japan (291,700
MT), Canada (114,200 MT), and Colombia (64,500 MT). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, new optional origin sales of 65,000 MT were reported for unknown destinations.  Options were reported for exercised to export 60,000 MT to unknown destinations from the United States.  The current outstanding balance
of 220,800 MT is for unknown destinations (115,000 MT), South Korea (65,000 MT), Italy (31,800 MT), and Saudi Arabia (9,000 MT).  For 2022/2023, new optional origin sales of 2,400 MT were reported for Italy.  The current outstanding balance of 3,900 MT is
for Italy.

Late
Reporting:

For 2021/2022, exports totaling 136,300 MT of corn were reported late to Mexico.

Barley: 
No net sales or exports were reported for the week.

Sorghum: 
Net sales of 148,400 MT for 2021/2022 were up 5 percent from the previous week, but down 42 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for China (208,400 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations) and Mexico (5,000 MT), were
offset by reductions for unknown destinations (65,000 MT).  Total net sales reductions for 2022/2023 of 53,000 MT were for China.  Exports of 141,600 MT were down 10 percent from the previous week, but up 15 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations
were to China (140,500 MT) and Mexico (1,100 MT).

Rice: 
Net sales of 24,000 MT for 2021/2022 were down 88 percent from the previous week and 80 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Haiti (7,300 MT), Mexico (7,000 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Costa Rica (5,000 MT), Canada (1,800
MT), and Jordan (1,700 MT), were offset by reductions for Taiwan (300 MT) and Honduras (300 MT).  Exports of 62,400 MT were down 12 percent from the previous week, but up 12 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to South Korea
(22,200 MT), Haiti (15,300 MT), Honduras (11,700 MT), Costa Rica (5,500 MT), and Mexico (3,300 MT).

Exports
for Own Account:

For 2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 MT, all Canada.

Soybeans: 
Net sales of 1,361,800 MT for 2021/2022 were down 15 percent from the previous week, but up 26 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for unknown destinations (371,700 MT), China (224,500 MT, including decreases of 2,300 MT), the Netherlands
(188,300 MT, including 112,600 MT switched from unknown destinations), Spain (121,500 MT, including 51,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Indonesia (94,500 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations, 200 MT switched from Vietnam,
and decreases of 3,300 MT), were offset by reductions for Costa Rica (400 MT).  Net sales of 1,526,000 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for China (876,000 MT), unknown destinations (530,000 MT), Egypt (106,000 MT), Mexico (10,000 MT), and Taiwan (4,000 MT). 
Exports of 1,213,000 MT were down 7 percent from the previous week and 19 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (575,700 MT), the Netherlands (122,300 MT), Mexico (120,600 MT), Taiwan (68,800 MT), and Germany (66,000
MT). 

Export
for Own Account:

For 2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 3,000 MT, all Canada.

Export
Adjustment

Accumulated exports of soybeans to the Netherlands were adjusted down 65,997 MT for week ending January 27th.  The correct destination for this shipment is Germany.

Soybean
Cake and Meal:
 
Net sales of 279,100 MT for 2021/2022 were up 16 percent from the previous week, but down 25 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for the Philippines (95,100 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Ecuador (68,900 MT), Morocco (31,600 MT,
including decreases of 400 MT), Canada (20,400 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), and Colombia (19,400 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Ireland (40,000 MT).  Total net sales of 40,000 MT for 2022/2023 were for Ireland.  Exports of 187,900 MT were
down 33 percent from the previous week and 34 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to the Philippines (50,000 MT), Mexico (26,400 MT), Canada (21,300 MT),  Guatemala (19,000 MT), and Honduras (17,800 MT). 

Soybean
Oil:
 
Net sales of 35,400 MT for 2021/2022 were up noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for unknown destinations (30,000 MT), Mexico (3,300 MT), Honduras (1,000 MT), and the Dominican Republic (800 MT). 
Exports of 33,300 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 18 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to South Korea (17,300 MT), the Dominican Republic (9,000 MT), Venezuela (3,000 MT), Mexico (2,100 MT), and Colombia
(1,500 MT).

Cotton: 
Net sales of 158,500 RB for 2021/2022 were down 14 percent from the previous week and 46 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (47,800 RB), Pakistan (23,900 RB), Vietnam (23,800 RB, including, 5,900 RB switched from South Korea
and 1,000 RB switched from Japan), Turkey (22,300 RB), and Peru (11,900 RB), were offset by reductions for South Korea (5,900 RB).  Net sales of 34,700 RB for 2022/2023 were primarily for Pakistan (14,100 RB), Mexico (5,400 RB), Turkey (4,400 RB), Indonesia
(3,500 RB), and Portugal (2,200 RB).  Exports of 270,000 RB were down 10 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (117,000 RB), Pakistan (46,300 RB), Vietnam (33,000 RB), Turkey
(20,200 RB), and Mexico (17,800 RB).  Net sales of Pima totaling 3,100 RB were down 42 percent from the previous week and 40 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for India (1,700 RB, including decreases of 900 RB), Peru (500 RB), China
(400 RB), and Vietnam (400 RB), were offset by reductions for Greece (400 RB).  Exports of 4,600 RB were down 78 percent from the previous week and 61 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (2,100 RB), Thailand (600
RB), Bangladesh (500 RB), Peru (400 RB), and India (300 RB). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, the current outstanding balance of 61,600 RB is for Vietnam (52,800 RB) and Pakistan (8,800 RB). 

Exports
for Own Account:
For
2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 RB, all Vietnam.

Hides
and Skins:
 
Net sales of 434,800 pieces for 2022 were up 60 percent from the previous week and 2 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (219,300 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 13,600 pieces), South Korea (89,400 whole cattle
hides, including decreases of 1,200 pieces), Mexico (44,000 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 500 pieces), Brazil (27,200 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 100 pieces), and Thailand (21,500 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 1,200
pieces), were offset by reductions primarily for Italy (6,600 pieces).  Total net sales of 1,800 calf skins were for Italy.  In addition, total net sales of 5,600 kip skins were for Italy.  Exports of 415,000 pieces were up 28 percent from the previous and
12 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Whole cattle hides exports were primarily to China (269,800 pieces), South Korea (52,100 pieces), Mexico (29,200 pieces), Thailand (15,800 pieces), and Indonesia (13,900 pieces).

Net
sales of 151,900 wet blues for 2022 were up noticeably from the previous week and up 6 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Italy (30,800 unsplit, 12,700 grain splits, including decreases of 200 unsplit and 200 grain splits),
Vietnam (36,800 unsplit, including decreases of 100 unsplit), China (32,000 unsplit), India (10,800 grain splits), and Mexico (10,300 unsplit)

Exports of 167,700 wet blues were up noticeably from the previous and up 19 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (52,100 unsplit), Vietnam (45,800 unsplit), Italy (29,400 unsplit and 11,700 grain splits), Thailand
(10,900 unsplit), and Mexico (4,200 grain splits and 2,800 unsplit).  Net sales of 37,800 splits were reported for Vietnam (32,800 pounds), South Korea (2,500 pounds, including decreases of 6,900 pounds), and China (2,500 pounds).  Exports of 449,000 pounds
were to Vietnam (320,000 pounds) and China (129,000 pounds).

Beef: 
Net sales of 23,000 MT for 2022 were up 18 percent from the previous week and 38 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for South Korea (10,100 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Japan (7,200 MT, including decreases of 200 MT), Canada
(1,600 MT, including decreases of 200 MT), Mexico (1,200 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), and China (600 MT, including decreases of 1,100 MT).  Exports of 16,500 MT were up 13 percent from the previous week and 10 percent from the prior 4-week average. 
The destinations were primarily to South Korea (4,900 MT), Japan (4,300 MT), China (2,400 MT), Taiwan (1,400 MT), and Mexico (1,200 MT). 

Pork: 
Net sales of 18,300 MT for 2022 were up 1 percent from the previous week, but down 46 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Mexico (4,800 MT, including decreases of 900 MT), South Korea (3,400 MT, including decreases of 400 MT),
Japan (3,300 MT, including decreases of 1,100 MT), Canada (2,400 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), and the Dominican Republic (1,600 MT).  Exports of 31,000 MT were up 2 percent from the previous week, but unchanged from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations
were primarily to Mexico (14,200 MT), Japan (4,900 MT), China (3,500 MT), South Korea (2,600 MT), and Canada (1,700 MT). 

 

 

 

Terry Reilly

Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds

Futures International
One Lincoln Center
18 W 140 Butterfield Rd.

Oakbrook Terrace, Il. 60181

W: 312.604.1366

treilly@futures-int.com

ICE IM: 
treilly1

Skype: fi.treilly

 

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