PDF Attached

 

Agriculture
prices sold off in part to disappointing USDA export sales. Soybeans caught a bid from higher soybean oil led by higher WTI crude oil (at the time market closed). Brazil was on holiday today.

 

Weather

CPC’s
updated Seasonal Drought Outlook.  Drought conditions to persist.
 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/season_drought.png

 

Map

Description automatically generated

 

Map

Description automatically generated

 

Map

Description automatically generated

 

Map

Description automatically generated

 

World
Weather Inc.

WEATHER
EVENTS AND FEATURES TO WATCH

  • Waves
    of excessive heat, strong wind and low humidity are expected in the central and southern U.S. Plains over the next two weeks
    • The
      first round of extremes will occur today and especially Friday
      • High
        temperatures in the 90s Fahrenheit are likely Friday afternoon from the South Dakota/Nebraska border to southern Texas with a few extremes near 100
    • Another
      wave of hot and windy weather is expected during mid-week next week
    • A
      third wave of heat and dryness will occur in the first days of May
    • The
      waves of heat will be separated by brief bouts of more seasonable temperatures and a few showers, but the resulting precipitation will fail to change drought status in the high Plains region
  • U.S.
    Southeastern states will experience a return of dryness in the next two weeks with daily temperatures rising into the 80s and infrequent rainfall that will be well below average is expected
    • Good
      planting weather will occur for a while, but the region will become too dry by the start of May
  • Spring
    planting delays are likely In North Dakota and Manitoba Canada as well as a few immediate bordering areas due to significant snow on the ground and the potential for flooding when the snow melts
  • Southwestern
    Canada Prairies are still much too dry and significant relief is not likely for a while
    • Spring
      planting will begin in this coming week, but significant precipitation is needed to fix long term dryness and to recharge subsoil moisture
      • Early
        season crop emergence will occur normally, but without rain some crops may wither in the absence of supportive subsoil moisture especially if it turns too warm prior to the arrival of rain
  • Eastern
    U.S. Midwest and Tennessee River Basin areas will see faster drying rates later this week and into the weekend as temperatures turn warmer while rainfall is restricted
    • Some
      planting of corn and other early season crops will result
  • Rain
    frequency in the Midwest will be greatest from Missouri and the northwestern Delta into Illinois and immediate bordering states through the weekend and then drier weather is expected next week favoring “some” possible field progress
  • Precipitation
    in the U.S. high Plains from western Nebraska and eastern Colorado through western Texas will be restricted over the next two weeks, although a few showers cannot be ruled out
  • West
    Texas cotton, corn and sorghum production areas will remain too dry during the next two weeks, despite a few showers infrequently
  • South
    Texas dryness will also prevail for a while
  • U.S.
    southeastern states will experience net drying over the next ten days
    • Warm
      temperatures and limited rainfall will allow aggressive spring planting to take place
    • Greater
      rainfall will be needed late this month and in May to ensure the best establishment, although World Weather, Inc. anticipates additional drying and an eventual concern over the lack of moisture
  • U.S.
    northern Plains and Canada’s eastern Prairies will be subjected to bouts of snow and rain Friday into Sunday and possibly again at the end of next week
    • Parts
      of the region are expected to become too wet when the deep snow cover finally melts
    • Flooding
      is already an issue along the Red River in Manitoba and there is much snow to melt and more coming
    • Planting
      in Manitoba could be delayed through May 15
    • Some
      delays to planting in North Dakota and northern Minnesota are also expected
  • Montana
    and western North Dakota will experience additional drought relief with significant snow and rain falling Friday into Saturday
    • Travel
      delays are likely due to snowfall during the weekend of 8 to 16 inches with a few amounts of 20-30 inches
      • The
        heavy snow will also impact southeastern Saskatchewan and Manitoba
    • Livestock
      stress and travel delays are also expected
    • One
      more storm may impact this region late next week, although confidence is low
  • U.S.
    Pacific Northwest continues to get less than usual precipitation, although the lower Columbia River Valley did receive above normal precipitation in the most recent 30 days
    • Some
      improvement in soil moisture also occurred in southern Idaho and in a few Wyoming sugarbeet and potato production areas
    • More
      moisture is needed
  • California
    snow water equivalents are now running 21-31% of normal for this date
    • Waves
      of rain and mountain snow are expected over the next week to ten days, but a recovery in the low snowpack is not likely
      • All
        of the moisture will be welcome, but water restrictions and concern over long term water supply are expected to continue rising
  • Mato
    Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul through Bahia, Minas Gerais and Sao Paulo, Brazil will experience net drying over the next two weeks
    • Dryness
      is already an issue in northern Minas Gerais and parts of central Bahia and is becoming an issue in Mato Grosso
      • Mato
        Grosso topsoil moisture is rated short to very short while its subsoil moisture is rated marginally adequate to short
        • Rising
          crop stress is predicted over the next two weeks and if there is no relief some yield potentials in corn fields will begin slipping lower
    • A
      few showers will occur Saturday in Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, but resulting rainfall will not be enough to seriously counter evaporation for the next few days – let alone the next two weeks
    • Concern
      is greatest for Mato Grosso
  • Southern
    Brazil crops will stay favorably moist with alternating periods of rain and sunshine expected
  • Most
    of Argentina will also continue to see a good mix of weather along with favorable soil moisture
    • There
      is need for rain in northwestern through west-central parts of the nation
  • North
    Africa weather will remain mostly good for developing wheat and barley
    • Production
      cuts are permanent in southwestern Morocco since some of the crop was not planted due to drought
      • Other
        areas in northern Morocco and areas east to Tunisia should see a favorable production year, despite some winter dryness
  • India’s
    lost winter crop yields came from late February and March dryness, but the losses are not likely to be very great and the winter crops were already poised to produce quite well which should reduce the significance of the decline recently reported
  • Weather
    in India, Europe, the Commonwealth of Independent States and China is expected to remain mostly good over the next ten days
  • Southwestern
    through east-central Europe will experience frequent precipitation over the next ten days and temperatures may be mild to a little cool at times
    • The
      environment may slow some spring fieldwork, but progress is expected
    • Early
      season winter and spring crop development will advance, albeit slowly due to milder than usual conditions
    • North-central
      and northwestern Europe weather is expected to be driest
  • Waves
    of rain and some snow in the western CIS will maintain moist field conditions in most of the crop areas west of the Ural Mountains and for some areas to the east as well
    • Spring
      fieldwork will be slower advancing than usual because of the precipitation, wet fields and milder than usual temperatures in many areas
    • Topsoil
      moisture is rated adequate to excessive west of the Ural Mountains and subsoil moisture is rated adequate
  • Portions
    of Kazakhstan have need for more moisture and the region should be closely monitored for dryness later this growing season
  • China’s
    Yangtze River Basin will see rain develop again late this week and into next week
    • The
      moisture abundance will be good for long term crop development, but fieldwork could be delayed at times
    • Net
      drying is expected in China’s Yellow River Basin and North China Plain
  • Xinjiang,
    China precipitation is expected to continue mostly in the mountains, but the precipitation will improve spring runoff potentials in support of better irrigation water supply
    • Some
      rain and snow may impact the far northeast of Xinjiang briefly this weekend through most of next week
  • India’s
    rainfall will be greatest in the far Eastern States this week, although some pre-monsoonal showers and thunderstorms are expected briefly in the south
    • Good
      harvest weather will continue in winter crop areas
    • Temperatures
      will remain warm
  • Turkey,
    Iran and Afghanistan will be the wettest Middle East countries over the next ten days
    • Rain
      is still needed in Syria, Iraq and neighboring areas to the south
  • Southeast
    Asia rainfall is expected to be abundant in Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines while a little erratic in the mainland crop areas
    • Overall,
      crop conditions will remain favorable
  • A
    tropical cyclone is possible near or over the Philippines during the middle and latter part of next week
    • Some
      heavy rainfall is possible
    • Confidence
      is low
  • Eastern
    Australia cotton and sorghum areas will experience dry weather through the weekend improving field progress after recent rain delays in New South Wales.
    • Cotton
      and sorghum harvest conditions in Queensland, Australia remain nearly ideal
    • Rain
      delay is expected again during the middle to latter part of next week
  • South
    Africa continues in need of drier weather to protect summer crop conditions and to promote faster crop maturation and harvest progress
    • Topo
      much moisture could harm crop quality
      • Cotton
        quality has already been compromised and soybean harvesting has been a little slow at times
  • Central
    Africa showers and thunderstorms will occur periodically during the next two weeks to support fieldwork and crop development
  • North
    Africa precipitation over the next two weeks will be a little more sporadic and light leading to some net drying
    • Crop
      conditions have remained favorable and are not likely to change much in the next ten days, despite some drying
  • Mexico’s
    winter dryness and drought have been expanding due to poor precipitation resulting from persistent La Nina
    • Northern
      parts of the nation will continue lacking precipitation for an extended period of time
    • Eastern
      and southern Mexico will experience some periodic rainfall over the next two weeks and some soil moisture boosting is expected in eastern parts of the nation
  • Central
    America precipitation will slowly expand northward in the next few weeks
    • the
      moisture will be good for most crops
  • Today’s
    Southern Oscillation Index was +15.64 and it should drift higher before leveling off in the next week

Source:
World Weather Inc.

 

Bloomberg
Ag Calendar

Thursday,
April 21:

  • USDA
    weekly net-export sales for corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, pork and beef, 8:30am
  • International
    Grains Council monthly report
  • USDA
    red meat production, 3pm
  • HOLIDAY:
    Brazil

Friday,
April 22:

  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm
  • First
    quarter cocoa grinding data from Cocoa Association of Asia
  • Brazil’s
    Unica may release cane crush and sugar output data (tentative)
  • U.S.
    cattle on feed; cold storage data for pork, beef and poultry, 3pm
  • FranceAgriMer
    weekly update on crop conditions

Source:
Bloomberg and FI

 

 

USDA
Export Sales

While
USDA soybean 2021-22 sales came in at a low 460,200 tons, new-crop was above expectations at 1.240 million tons. Old crop soybean sales included increases for China (496,400 MT, including 66,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 5,000
MT), Indonesia (81,000 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 100 MT), Bangladesh (57,000 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Egypt (53,700 MT, including decreases of 1,300MT). 2022-23 soybean
sales included China (669,000 MT), unknown destinations (351,000 MT), and Spain (131,000 MT).  

 

Soybean
meal sales were near the lower end of expectations but shipments were ok at 348,400 tons. Soybean oil sales were poor at 1,300 tons and shipments were 5,500 tons.

 

USDA
corn export sales were 879,200 tons old crop and 389,600 tons new crop. 2021-22 included China (675,200 MT, including decreases of5,600 MT), South Korea (126,200 MT, including 68,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 6,800 MT), and Mexico
(75,500 MT, including decreases of 34,600 MT). 340,000 tons of new crop were booked by China. USDA sorghum export sales were a net reduction of 53,600 tons for 2021-22. Increases reported for China (11,400 MT, including decreases of 2,100MT), were more than
offset by reductions for unknown destinations (65,000MT). Pork sales were 12,900 tons and didn’t include China.

 

All-wheat
export sales were a low 26,400 tons old crop. New-crop were 238,400 tons, low for this time of year.

 

 

 

Macros

(Reuters)
– A half-point interest rate increase will be “on the table” when the Fed meets on May 3-4 to approve the next in what are expected to be a series of rate increases this year, Fed chair Jerome Powell said Thursday.

US
Initial Jobless Claims Apr 16: 184K (est 180K; prev 185K; prevR 186K)

US
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (BCF) 15-Apr: +53 (est +40; prev +15)      


Salt Dome Cavern NatGas Stocks (BCF): +15 (prev +13)

 

EPA
RIN update:

U.S.
GENERATED 490 MLN BIODIESEL (D4) BLENDING CREDITS IN MARCH, VS 396 MLN IN FEBRUARY -EPA

U.S.
GENERATED 1.27 BLN ETHANOL (D6) BLENDING CREDITS IN MARCH, VS 1.07 BLN IN FEBRUARY -EPA

Year
ago D4 biodiesel 406 and D6 ethanol 1.19 billion

 

Corn

·        
CBOT corn was sharply lower led by the nearby contracts following weakness in wheat, lower than expected USDA export sales and profit taking after contract highs were established on Wednesday.

·        
The IGC in its initial estimate projected 2022-23 global corn production at 1.197 billion tons, 13 million below the current year, due to smaller crops for the US and Ukraine. 

·        
Argentina’s Rosario grains exchange increased its corn area for the 2021-22 crop to 8.42 million hectares from 7.96 million hectares previously, boosting the corn production estimate to 49.2 million tons from 47.7 million previously. 

·        
Ukraine is about 20 percent complete for summer grain planting progress, or 2.5 million hectares of the intended total. The area was expected by the AgMin to drop about 20 percent from the previous season.

 

Export
developments.

·        
None reported

 

 

Updated
4/18/22

May
corn is seen in a $7.75 and $8.55 range

December
corn is seen in a wide $5.50-$8.00 range

 

Soybeans

·        
Soybeans ended higher led by strength in soybean oil, which was led by higher WTI crude oil and product spreading. Soybean meal finished lower. Brazil was on holiday, and news was light. Export sales were ok for soybeans (combined)
but poor for the products. July soybean oil topped 80 cents for the first time.

·        
The Argentina AgMin reported the March crush at 2.9 million tons, well below 3.4 million year ago but up from 2.6 million crushed during February 2022. Jan-Mar crush ended up at 8.1 million tons, down 15 percent from year earlier
(15% less product production).

·        
The one day port strike in Argentina has little impact on shipping.

·        
Argentina’s Rosario grains exchange raised its 2021-22 soybean production estimate to 41.2 million tons from previous 40 million tons.

·        
China remains a potential buyer of 2021-22 US soybeans. Earlier we heard Sinograin was in for soybeans but saw no confirmation.

·        
In a China crush margin article by Reuters, they noted China has secured only about 20 percent of 7-8 million tons of soybean imports needed each month between June-August. Currently US soybeans Gulf FOB are priced cheaper than
Brazil from June through August period. Reuters also noted “Crush margins for Brazilian and U.S. soybeans for delivery in June and July are currently around -20 yuan ($3.11) to -5 yuan per ton, while margins for August U.S. Gulf cargoes were slightly positive.”

·        
CNGOIC reported China soybean stocks for the week ending April 17 at 3.2 million tons, about 350,000 tons higher than the previous week but still down 1.2 million tons from this time a year ago.  Soybean meal stocks were off 30,000
tons to only 310,000 tons, more than half of what they held in inventories a year ago. Soybean oil inventories were 790,000 tons, up 10,000 from the previous week and 200,000 higher than a year ago. The weekly crush increased 190,000 tons to 1.4 million tons,
about 200,000 tons below a year ago.

·        
A Sioux City IA soybean crushing plant will be down until nearly mid-May.

·        
Indonesia set its May crude palm oil reference price at $1,657.39 a ton, below April’s $1,787.5 per ton. The May reference price pegs the May export levy and export tax at maximum at $375 per ton and $200 per ton, respectively.

·        
Cargo surveyor SGS reported month to date April 20 Malaysian palm exports at 632,588 tons, 91,409 tons below the same period a month ago or down 12.6%, and 194,320 tons below the same period a year ago or down 23.5%.

 

Export
Developments

·        
China looks for sell another 500,000 tons of soybeans this week.

 

Chart

Description automatically generated

 

Updated
4/13/22

Soybeans
– May $16.00-$17.75

Soybeans
– November is seen in a wide $12.75-$15.50 range

Soybean
meal – May $440-$490

Soybean
oil – May 77-82

 

Wheat

·        
US wheat
ended
sharply lower on technical selling and improving weather for the upper Great Plains. Based on historical early US winter wheat crop conditions and initial USDA May crop production yields, we tentatively estimate the May USDA winter wheat production at 1.335
billion bushels, up 58 million from 2021.

·        
The IGC in its initial estimate projected 2022-23 global wheat production at 780 million tons, only 1 million below the current year, with a smaller crop for Ukraine offset by larger crops elsewhere.

·        
SovEcon estimated a record 2022 Russian wheat crop of 87.4 million tons, up from a previous forecast of 86.5 million tons. Russia harvested 76.0 million tons of wheat in 2021. They pegged Russia wheat exports in for 2022-23 (Jun-Jul)
at 41.0 million tons compared to 33.9 million tons in the current season.

·        
USDA export sales were reported near the lower end of expectations, on a combined crop-year basis.

·        
Egypt said they have enough wheat reserves, after securing local wheat, to last until the end of January 2023.

·        
BA Grains Exchange: Argentina wheat planted are projected at 6.5 million hectares, down from 6.5 million last season. 2021-22 production was 21.8 million tons.

·        
September EU wheat futures were 4.25 euros lower at 356.50 euros.

 

Export
Developments.

·        
Taiwan bought 47,120 tons of US wheat for June 2 through June 21 if shipped off the PNW. It included 32,950 tons of 14.5% protein dark northern spring wheat at $475.80 a ton. 12.5% hard red winter wheat was bought at $511.56 a
ton FOB, and 10.5% soft white wheat at $424.57 a ton.

·        
Japan bought 27,320 tons of wheat on Thursday. Original details as follows. 

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of feed barley on April 26 for Aug and/or Sep shipment.

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of wheat. on April 27 for Jun and/or Aug shipment.

 

Rice/Other

·        
None reported

 

Updated
4/13/22

Chicago May $9.75 to $12.00 range, December $8.50-$12.00

KC May $10.50 to $12.00 range, December $8.75-$13.50

MN May $10.75‐$12.00, December $9.00-$14.00

 

USDA Export Sales

 

 

U.S. EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING  4/14/2022

 





























 

CURRENT MARKETING YEAR

NEXT MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

WEEKLY EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED EXPORTS

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR

AGO

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR

AGO

 

THOUSAND METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   HRW    

-55.8

1,077.2

1,102.1

201.1

6,415.5

7,518.7

81.0

584.7

   SRW    

17.4

414.6

245.6

89.9

2,437.8

1,528.9

78.0

587.0

   HRS      

78.1

753.8

1,271.0

141.2

4,645.3

6,409.1

28.5

567.9

   WHITE   

-13.7

353.4

1,332.7

71.4

2,977.1

5,296.9

50.9

337.2

   DURUM  

0.4

15.5

69.7

0.4

174.4

594.9

0.0

64.4

     TOTAL

26.3

2,614.5

4,021.0

504.0

16,650.1

21,348.6

238.4

2,141.2

BARLEY

0.0

5.8

4.5

0.0

14.7

24.7

0.0

8.6

CORN

879.2

20,078.7

27,805.3

1,196.4

36,570.0

39,393.0

389.6

3,363.4

SORGHUM

-53.6

2,203.9

1,943.8

280.8

4,500.6

5,107.0

0.0

0.0

SOYBEANS

460.2

11,078.6

5,102.5

889.0

46,017.2

55,724.4

1,240.0

10,161.3

SOY MEAL

101.8

2,715.0

2,142.7

348.4

6,783.4

7,117.2

27.0

370.4

SOY OIL

1.2

141.0

101.9

5.5

505.9

557.2

0.0

0.0

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   L G RGH

32.7

202.0

319.9

10.0

1,012.7

1,183.3

0.0

0.0

   M S RGH

6.8

9.2

5.3

0.4

11.8

23.5

0.0

0.0

   L G BRN

0.3

6.1

3.0

0.3

44.5

35.2

0.0

0.0

   M&S BR

0.1

23.9

68.5

0.1

62.7

86.1

0.0

0.0

   L G MLD

20.3

93.9

52.7

10.2

614.5

483.7

0.0

0.0

   M S MLD

4.5

224.4

247.2

17.1

282.9

402.1

0.0

0.0

     TOTAL

64.7

559.4

696.5

38.1

2,029.1

2,214.0

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

50.5

6,589.9

4,586.8

367.1

7,779.9

10,485.4

136.1

2,796.6

   PIMA

3.8

123.7

207.2

14.7

327.6

549.4

5.5

40.1

 

This
summary is based on reports from exporters for the period April 8-14, 2022.

Wheat:  Net
sales of 26,300 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down 73 percent from the previous week and 79 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (90,500 MT, including decreases of 1,000 MT), Haiti (27,000 MT switched
from unknown destinations), Ghana (26,000 MT switched from Nigeria), Cameroon (23,000 MT, including 20,000 MT switched from Nigeria), and Italy (15,000 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Nigeria (131,000 MT).  Net sales of 238,400 MT for 2022/2023
were primarily for Nigeria (86,000 MT), unknown destinations (75,000 MT), Japan (45,900 MT), Mexico (13,000 MT), and South Korea (9,500 MT).  Exports of 504,000 MT were up 48 percent from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations
were primarily to Mexico (77,300 MT), Thailand (60,200 MT), Taiwan (57,100 MT), Guatemala (39,400 MT), and South Korea (38,500 MT). 

Corn: 
Net sales of 879,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 34 percent from the previous week and 6 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (675,200 MT, including decreases of 5,600 MT), South Korea (126,200 MT, including 68,000 MT switched
from unknown destinations and decreases of 6,800 MT), Mexico (75,500 MT, including decreases of 34,600 MT), Indonesia (67,200 MT, including 68,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 800 MT), and Saudi Arabia (42,800 MT, including 40,000
MT switched from unknown destinations), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (234,000 MT).  Net sales of 389,600 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for China (340,000 MT), Colombia (40,000 MT), Mexico (5,100 MT), and Canada (4,500 MT). 
Exports of 1,196,400 MT were down 23 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (402,400 MT), Mexico (275,900 MT), Japan (104,300 MT), Indonesia (67,200 MT), and South Korea (61,900
MT).

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, the current outstanding balance of 533,300 MT is for unknown destinations (365,000 MT), South Korea (65,000 MT), Morocco (60,000 MT), Italy (34,300 MT), and Saudi Arabia (9,000 MT).  For 2022/2023, new optional origin
sales of 52,000 MT were reported for Italy.  The current outstanding balance of 58,400 MT is for Italy.

Barley:
No net sales or exports were reported for the week.

Sorghum: 
Net sales reductions of 53,600 MT for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down noticeably from the previous week, but up noticeably from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for China (11,400 MT, including decreases of 2,100 MT), were more than
offset by reductions for unknown destinations (65,000 MT).  Exports of 280,800 MT were up 98 percent from the previous week and 15 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations was China.

Rice: 
Net sales of 64,700 MT for 2021/2022 were up 29 percent from the previous week and 63 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Mexico (40,100 MT), Haiti (15,200 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), Canada (3,300 MT), Saudi Arabia
(1,900 MT), and Jordan (1,800 MT).  Exports of 38,100 MT were down 19 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Japan (12,100 MT), Honduras (9,100 MT), Haiti (7,100 MT), Canada (3,700 MT),
and Mexico (2,100 MT).

Soybeans: 
Net sales of 460,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 16 percent from the previous week and 39 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (496,400 MT, including 66,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 5,000 MT), Indonesia
(81,000 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 100 MT), Bangladesh (57,000 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), Egypt (53,700 MT, including decreases of 1,300 MT), and Japan (51,600 MT, including
45,500 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 2,600 MT), were offset by reductions for unknown destinations (326,300 MT) and Spain (66,000 MT).  Net sales of 1,240,000 MT for 2022/2023 were primarily for China (669,000 MT), unknown destinations
(351,000 MT), Spain (131,000 MT), the Netherlands (66,000 MT), and Mexico (20,000 MT).  Exports of 889,000 MT were up 10 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (294,000 MT), Indonesia
(109,700 MT), Mexico (102,300 MT), the Netherlands (84,200 MT), and Japan (67,600 MT). 

Export
for Own Account:

For 2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 3,000 MT, all Canada.

Soybean
Cake and Meal:
 
Net sales of 101,800 MT for 2021/2022 were down 42 percent from the previous week and 33 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for the Philippines (47,200 MT),  Colombia (25,500 MT, including decreases of 1,100 MT), Mexico (21,600 MT),
Canada (15,200 MT, including decreases of 1,100 MT), and El Salvador (6,400 MT switched from Guatemala), were offset by reductions primarily for Ireland (12,000 MT), unknown destinations (4,500 MT), Guatemala (4,100 MT), and Morocco (2,200 MT).  Net sales
of 27,000 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for Colombia (15,000 MT) and Ireland (12,000 MT).  Exports of 348,400 MT were down noticeably from the previous week and down 88 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to the Philippines
(49,400 MT), Ecuador (47,000 MT), Mexico (44,600 MT), Vietnam (43,900 MT), and Colombia (25,500 MT).

Soybean
Oil:
 
Net sales of 1,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 81 percent from the previous week and 88 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Guatemala (800 MT), were offset by reductions for Mexico (300 MT).  Exports of 5,500 were up 84 percent from
the previous week, but down 74 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Jamaica (3,500 MT) and Mexico (1,400 MT).

Cotton: 
Net sales of 50,500 RB for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down 15 percent from the previous week and 70 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for India (19,500 RB, including decreases of 13,500 RB), Peru (10,300 RB), Guatemala
(6,200 RB), China (4,700 RB), and Turkey (2,400 RB, including decreases of 9,600 RB), were offset by reductions for Indonesia (900 RB), Honduras (500 RB), and South Korea (400 RB).  Net sales of 136,100 RB for 2022/2023 were primarily for Turkey (48,400 RB),
Mexico (30,100 RB), Honduras (17,400 RB), Peru (11,900 RB), and Indonesia (9,700 RB).  Exports of 367,100 RB were up 10 percent from the previous week, but down 6 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (146,800 RB),
Pakistan (57,000 RB), Turkey (55,400 RB), Vietnam (42,300 RB), and Mexico (10,800 RB).  Net sales of Pima totaling 3,800 RB were up 79 percent from the previous week, but down 20 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Pakistan
(1,500 RB), Vietnam (900 RB), Bangladesh (700 RB), Turkey (400 RB), and India (200 RB).  Net sales of 5,500 RB for 2022/2023 were reported for Peru (4,300 RB), India (700 RB), Germany (400 RB), and Japan (100 RB).  Exports of 14,700 RB were down 19 percent
from the previous week, but up 22 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to India (5,700 RB), China (5,200 RB), Turkey (1,200 RB), Peru (1,100 RB), and Taiwan (400 RB). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, the current outstanding balance of 57,200 RB is for Vietnam (52,800 RB) and Pakistan (4,400 RB). 

Exports
for Own Account:
For
2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 RB, all Vietnam.

Hides
and Skins:
 
Net sales of 473,700 pieces for 2022 were up 15 percent from the previous week and 18 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (271,100 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 17,100 pieces), Thailand (125,700 whole cattle hides,
including decreases of 1,300 pieces), Mexico (27,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 600 pieces), South Korea (20,300 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 700 pieces), and Indonesia (13,100 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 700 pieces),
were offset by reductions for Argentina (600 pieces), Brazil (400 pieces), and Taiwan (300 pieces).  Exports of 377,900 pieces were down 36 percent from the previous week and 26 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Whole cattle hides exports were primarily
to China (206,500 pieces), South Korea (45,400 pieces), Mexico (34,300 pieces), Thailand (34,000 pieces), and Taiwan (25,300 pieces).

Net
sales of 270,800 wet blues for 2022 were up noticeably from the previous week and up 89 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Italy (86,200 unsplit and 9,000 grain splits, including decreases of 100 unsplit), China (58,000 unsplit,
including decreases of 200 unsplit), Vietnam (53,600 unsplit), Thailand (31,800 unsplit), and Portugal (16,000 grain splits), were offset by reductions for Hong Kong (100 unsplit).  Exports of 171,300 wet blues were up 3 percent from the previous week, but
down 8 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Italy (41,400 unsplit and 16,200 grain splits), China (31,400 unsplit), Vietnam (30,400 unsplit), Thailand (25,700 unsplit), and Hong Kong (10,900 unsplit).  Net sales of 999,000
splits were down noticeably from the previous week, but up 96 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were reported for Vietnam (623,400 pounds, including decreases of 17,100 pounds), South Korea (249,600 pounds, including decreases of 2,900 pounds),
and China (126,000 pounds).  Exports of 686,900 pounds were down 11 percent from the previous week, but up 16 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Vietnam (557,700 pounds) and South Korea (85,300 pounds).

Beef: 
Net sales of 15,000 MT for 2022 were down 13 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Japan (4,600 MT, including decreases of 700 MT), South Korea (4,100 MT, including decreases of 700 MT),
China (2,500 MT, including decreases of 700 MT), Canada (1,000 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), and Taiwan (600 MT, including decreases of 100 MT).  Exports of 21,000 MT were up 13 percent from the previous week, but down 16 percent from the prior 4-week
average.  The destinations were primarily to South Korea (6,800 MT), Japan (5,200 MT), China (3,600 MT), Taiwan (1,200 MT), and Mexico (1,000 MT). 

Pork: 
Net sales of 12,900 MT for 2022–a marketing-year low–were down 46 percent from the previous week and 55 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (4,700 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), South Korea (2,800 MT, including decreases
of 1,300 MT), the Philippines (1,300 MT), Canada (800 MT, including decreases of 500 MT), and the Dominican Republic (700 MT), were offset by reductions for China (100 MT).  Exports of 28,200 MT were down 11 percent from the previous week and 6 percent from
the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (11,600 MT), Japan (4,600 MT), China (3,800 MT), South Korea (2,700 MT), and Canada (1,300 MT).

 

 

Terry Reilly

Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds

Futures International
One Lincoln Center
18 W 140 Butterfield Rd.

Oakbrook Terrace, Il. 60181

W: 312.604.1366

treilly@futures-int.com

ICE IM: 
treilly1

Skype: fi.treilly

 

Description: Description: Description: Description: FImail

 

Trading of futures, options, swaps and other derivatives is risky and is not suitable for all persons.  All of these investment products are leveraged, and you can lose more than your initial deposit.  Each investment product is offered
only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful, and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations in such jurisdiction.  The information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research before making
your investment decisions.  Futures International, LLC is merely providing this information for your general information and the information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs.  All investors
should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision.  The contents of this communication and any attachments are for informational purposes only and under no circumstances should they be construed as an offer to buy or
sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell any future, option, swap or other derivative.  The sources for the information and any opinions in this communication are believed to be reliable, but Futures International, LLC does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy
of such information or opinions.  Futures International, LLC and its principals and employees may take positions different from any positions described in this communication.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.