PDF Attached
Private
exporters reported sales of 143,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations. Of the total, 500 metric tons is for delivery during the 2021/2022 marketing year and 142,500 metric tons is for delivery during the 2022/2023 marketing year.
The
midday 11-15 day turned a little warmer for the US Midwest. 6-10 still shows warmer than normal temperatures for the upper Midwest. The 1-5 day precipitation map calls for lighter rain across the Midwest.
Refinitiv
US weather LT forecasts
WORLD
WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 9, 2022
- Not
much change occurred overnight for many areas in the world - High
pressure ridges are still advertised in the middle of North America during the coming week and on out beyond mid-month - The
European 00z operational model was much too intense with its ridge for June 17-19 - The
European 00z Ensemble and 00z GFS ensemble have much better solutions - Net
drying and hotter weather is expected, especially in the Plains and a part of the western Corn Belt - June
17-19 weather will include 90-107 degree high temperatures from South Dakota to Texas and possibly in the 90s to near 100 in western Iowa and western Missouri, but that assumes the model data is correct and the ridge is being played up hard because of possible
tropical system in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico at that time. - The
tropical event may not be there and if not the ridge will be less intensive - Less
frequent and less significant rain in the lower U.S. Midwest, southern half of the Great Plains and Delta during the next ten days will result in some drying in all of these areas - A
timely occurrence of rain is likely in the northern Plains and northern Midwest favoring crop development - Increasing
rainfall is expected in the northern Plains and eastern Canada’s Prairies this weekend into next week resulting in new delays to late season fieldwork, but good progress has occurred in the past week - West
Texas weather will be more harsh over the next two weeks with less frequent and less significant rainfall, hotter temperatures and periods of high wind speeds - Rain
is expected in the Texas Panhandle tonight with a few sporadic showers to the south, but outside the Panhandle rainfall is not likely to be significant and that is true for other showers that occur there during the next week to ten days - Canada’s
drought stricken region in the Prairies will get critically important rainfall late this weekend into early next week
- 0.25
to 0.75 inch and a few 1.00 to 2.00-inch amounts of rain will be possible - The
precipitation will stop the withering trend for some of the emerged crops - The
precipitation will induce some germination and emergence in fields that have been too dry for development - Follow
up rain will be extremely important and likely to come later this month and next - Returning
rain in eastern Canada’s Prairies will slow farming activity once again starting this weekend with next week’s weather more active - No
changes today in South America - Western
Argentina will continue dry and in need of rain for winter crops - Southern
Brazil will receive additional moisture keeping the region plenty wet - No
crop threatening cold is expected in Brazil grain, coffee, citrus and or sugarcane areas for ten days - Recent
rain and that which is still coming in western Mato Grosso will be good for late season cotton - Europe
weather will continue to better than earlier this month and in late May, but more rain is needed and net drying is likely in the west through the coming week to ten days returning a drier environment - France
will likely lead the drying trend - Russia’s
Southern Region, eastern Ukraine and western Kazakhstan will continue drying out over the next ten days
- This
will eventually lead to crop stress and concern over future development - China’s
dry areas in the North China Plain and Central Yellow River Basin dryness will slowly be eased over the coming week by some periodic showers, but much greater rain will be needed - Interior
southern China is drying down after excessively great rainfall recently - China’s
coastal provinces will continue receiving frequent rain causing some flooding
- Rice
and sugarcane will be most impacted by ongoing wet conditions in southern China - Northeast
China needs to dry down as well to favor fieldwork - India’s
monsoon will continue performing poorly this week, but rain may expand somewhat next week - Western
Australia is still poised to receive frequent rain over the next several days improving wheat barley and canola planting and emergence conditions
Source:
World Weather Inc.
Bloomberg
Ag Calendar
- China’s
first batch of May trade data, including soybeans, edible oils, rubber and meat imports - USDA
weekly net-export sales for corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, pork and beef, 8:30am - Ecosperity
sustainability conference, Singapore - Russian
Grain Union’s International Grain Round conference, Gelendzhik, Russia, day 3
Friday,
June 10:
- USDA’s
monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand (WASDE) report, 12pm - China’s
agriculture ministry (CASDE) releases monthly report on supply and demand for corn and soybeans - ICE
Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report - Malaysian
Palm Oil Board’s data for May output, exports and stockpiles - CFTC
commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm - FranceAgriMer
weekly update on crop conditions - Malaysia’s
June 1-10 palm oil export data - Brazil’s
Unica may release cane crush and sugar output data (tentative)
Source:
Bloomberg and FI
USDA
S&D estimates
USDA
Export Sales
US
soybean export sales were near the higher end of expectations and products either below or at the low end of a trade range. China booked 128,900 tons of soybeans. USDA corn export sales were up from the previous week and within expectations but slow for this
time of year. No corn was sold to China. US wheat export sales for the current 2022-23 marketing year were very good at 451,000 tons and included unknown destinations, Mexico and the Philippines.
Macros
US
Initial Jobless Claims Jun-4: 229K (exp 206K; R prev 202K)
–
Continuing Claims May-28: 1306K (exp 1303K; R prev 1306K)
EIA
Expects NatGas Consumption In US Electric Power Sector Will Average 0.9Bln Cubic Feet Per Day (BCF/D) More In 2022 Than In 2021
101
Counterparties Take $2.142 Tln At Fed Reverse Repo Op (prev $2.140 Tln, 98 Bids)
·
US corn futures ended mixed. We saw bull spreading again on talk of tight old crop supplies. Good US weather pressured back month corn. USDA corn export sales were poor and weekly commitments will need to increase this summer
in order to reach USDA’s export projection. News was light for corn.
·
Funds bought an estimated net 5,000 corn contracts.
·
Corn sales were very poor at only 280k old crop and 73.5k new crop.
·
1-5 days calls for lighter rain across the Midwest.
·
The weekly USDA Broiler Report showed eggs set up slightly and chicks placed up 2 percent from a year ago. Cumulative placements from the week ending January 8, 2022, through June 4, 2022 for the United States were 4.11 billion.
Cumulative placements were down slightly from the same period a year earlier.
Export
developments.
·
China looks to buy 40,000 tons of frozen pork on June 10.
From
Wednesday:
Updated
6/9/22
July
corn is seen in a $7.25 and $8.25 range
December
corn is seen in a wide $5.75-$8.50 range