PDF attached
Weekly EIA US ethanol production was up 21,000 barrels per day to 1.004 million barrels, highest since 4/14, and stocks increased for the first time in 6 weeks by 291,000 barrels to 22.332 million. For reference, a Bloomberg poll looked for weekly US ethanol production to be up 15,000 thousand barrels and stocks down 63,000 barrels. Sep 2022 to date ethanol production is running 3.2 percent below the same period last season. US gasoline stocks of 216.1 million barrels were down marginally from the previous week, and down five consecutive weeks. Implied US gasoline demand was 9.098 million barrels, down 339,000 barrels. Total ethanol blended to finished motor gasoline was 9.125 million barrels, a 91.1 percent blend rate.
EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report (WPSR) is now showing Fuel Ethanol and Total Motor Gasoline (sum of Finished Motor Gasoline and Motor Gasoline Blending Components) estimates separate from Other Oils exports estimates starting with data for the week ending May 26, 2023. Table 9, tab 8. There were no imports and 54,000 barrels per day of exports.
https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/
US DoE Crude Oil Inventories (W/W) 26-May: +4.488M (est -1.500M; prev -12.456M)
– Distillate Inventories: +985K (est +1.000M; prev -561K)
– Cushing OK Crude Inventories: +1.628M (prev +1.762M)
– Gasoline Inventories: -207K (est -1.100M; prev -2.053M)
– Refinery Utilization: +1.40% (est +0.50%; prev -0.30%)
University of Illinois: Is the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard in Danger of Going Over a RIN Cliff?
Gerveni, M., T. Hubbs and S. Irwin. “Is the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard in Danger of Going Over a RIN Cliff?” farmdoc daily (13):99, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, May 31, 2023.
Terry Reilly Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds |
Futures International One Lincoln Center 18W140 Butterfield Rd. Suite 1450 Oakbrook terrace, Il. 60181 |
Work: 312.604.1366 ICE IM: treilly1 Skype IM: fi.treilly |
treilly@futures-int.com |
DISCLAIMER: The contents of this communication and any attachments are for informational purposes only and under no circumstances should they be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell any future, option, swap or other derivative. The sources for the information and any opinions in this communication are believed to be reliable, but Futures International, LLC does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy of such information or opinions. This communication may contain links to third party websites which are not under the control of FI and FI is not responsible for their content. Trading of futures, options, swaps and other derivatives is risky and is not suitable for all persons. All of these investment products are leveraged, and you can lose more than your initial deposit. Each investment product is offered only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful, and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations in such jurisdiction. The information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research before making your investment decisions. Futures International, LLC is merely providing this information for your general information and the information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision. Futures International, LLC and its principals and employees may take positions different from any positions described in this communication. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. |