From: Terry Reilly
Sent: Thursday, March 05, 2020 7:40:39 AM (UTC-06:00) Central Time (US & Canada)
Subject: FI Weekly USDA Export Sales Snapshot 03/05/20
PDF attached
USDA export sales were ok for everything except for soybeans. Corn was on the low end of expectations. Sorghum sales were 71.6k. Soybean meal shipments were a marketing year high.
Export Sales Highlights
This summary is based on reports from exporters for the period February 21-27, 2020.
- Wheat: Net sales of 542,400 metric tons for 2019/2020 were up 42 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Taiwan (102,500 MT), South Korea (85,800 MT), Indonesia (77,000 MT), Mexico (75,000 MT, including 30,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 1,400 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (76,700 MT). For 2020/2021, total net sales of 28,000 MT were for Mexico. Exports of 648,800 MT were up 59 percent from the previous week and 36 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Thailand (115,400 MT), Mexico (101,500 MT), the Philippines (99,600 MT), Indonesia (77,000 MT), and South Korea (66,000 MT).
- Corn: Net sales of 769,200 MT for 2019/2020 were down 11 percent from the previous week and 29 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Mexico (248,100 MT, including decreases of 24,600 MT), South Korea (136,000 MT), Colombia (88,000 MT, including 17,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 33,000 MT), Vietnam (66,000 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Saudi Arabia (65,700 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), were offset by reductions for Haiti (800 MT). For 2020/2021, net sales of 100,000 MT were for Mexico (98,000 MT) and Guatemala (2,000 MT). Exports of 884,600 MT–a marketing-year high–were up 5 percent from the previous week and 18 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Japan (335,600 MT), Mexico (277,600 MT), Vietnam (66,000 MT), Saudi Arabia (65,700 MT), and Guatemala (31,900 MT).
Optional Origin Sales: For 2019/2020, new optional origin sales of 188,000 MT were reported for South Korea. Options were exercised to export 58,900 MT to Egypt from other than the United States. The current outstanding balance of 779,000 MT is for South Korea (719,000 MT) and Israel (60,000 MT).
Export Adjustments: Accumulated exports of corn to Mexico were adjusted down 331 MT for week ending February 13th. The exports were reported in error and included in this week’s report.
- Barley: No net sales for 2019/2020 were reported for the week. Exports of 600 MT were up noticeably from the previous week, but down 14 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destination was Japan.
- Sorghum: Net sales of 71,600 MT for 2019/2020 were down 84 percent from the previous week and 46 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were for China (69,300 MT, including 66,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), Mexico (1,300 MT), and Japan (1,000 MT). Exports of 93,200 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 89 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to China (69,300 MT), Mexico (12,700 MT), and Japan (11,000 MT).
- Rice: Net sales of 38,200 MT for 2019/2020 were down 27 percent from the previous week and 58 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were primarily for South Korea (15,800 MT), Honduras (13,700 MT, including 10,000 MT switched from El Salvador), Mexico (6,700 MT), Japan (3,800 MT), and Guatemala (2,900 MT, including 1,900 MT switched from El Salvador). Exports of 62,400 MT were up 77 percent from the previous week, but down 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to the Dominican Republic (15,500 MT), Honduras (14,400 MT), Guatemala (11,800 MT), South Korea (7,800 MT), and El Salvador (5,900 MT).
- Soybeans: Net sales of 345,000 MT for 2019/2020 were up 2 percent from the previous week, but down 35 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Mexico (164,000 MT, including decreases of 800 MT), Egypt (91,500 MT, including 90,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 600 MT), the Netherlands (56,200 MT, including 60,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 3,800 MT), Malaysia (50,300 MT, including 34,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Japan (42,300 MT, including decreases of 1,000 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (135,200 MT). For 2020/2021, total net sales of 1,400 MT were for Japan. Exports of 695,600 MT were up 16 percent from the previous week, but down 22 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Egypt (171,500 MT), China (132,000 MT), Mexico (88,200 MT), the Netherlands (56,200 MT), and Bangladesh (52,800 MT).
Exports for Own Account: For 2019/2020, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 2,100 MT, all Canada.
- Soybean Cake and Meal: Net sales of 316,700 MT for 2019/2020 were up noticeably from the previous week and up 64 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for the Philippines (138,500 MT), unknown destinations (90,000 MT), Canada (54,100 MT, including decreases of 500 MT), Denmark (35,000 MT, including 30,900 MT switched from Germany), and the United Kingdom (24,100 MT, switched from Germany), were offset by reductions primarily for Germany (55,000 MT). For 2020/2021, total net sales of 4,900 MT were for Canada. Exports of 338,300 MT–a marketing-year high–were up 22 percent from the previous week and 42 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to the Philippines (66,200 MT), Bangladesh (51,000 MT), Denmark (35,000 MT), the United Kingdom (24,100 MT), and Canada (23,200 MT).
- Soybean Oil: Net sales of 43,500 MT for 2019/2020 primarily for Guatemala (16,000 MT), Colombia (15,800 MT), the Dominican Republic (5,700 MT), Jamaica (3,500 MT), and Mexico (2,100 MT), were offset by reductions for El Salvador (800 MT). Exports of 35,300 MT were up 72 percent from the previous week and 12 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Morocco (19,000 MT), Peru (11,700 MT), Colombia (2,300 MT), and Mexico (2,100 MT).
- Cotton: Net sales of 395,500 RB–a marketing-year high–for 2019/2020 were up 84 percent from the previous week and 40 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Vietnam (102,500 RB, including 4,500 RB switched from Hong Kong, 4,500 RB switched from Taiwan, and decreases of 11,700 RB), Turkey (77,500 RB), Pakistan (62,300 RB, including decreases of 38,400 RB), China (58,400 RB), and Bangladesh (44,000 RB), were offset by reductions primarily for Japan (19,700 RB) and Malaysia (2,000 RB). For 2020/2021, net sales of 53,200 RB were primarily for Malaysia (16,700 RB), Turkey (13,200 RB), Peru (7,000 RB), Vietnam (5,700 RB), and Indonesia (5,000 RB). Exports of 478,200 RB–a marketing-year high–were up 48 percent from the previous week and 26 percent from the prior 4-week average. Exports were primarily to Vietnam (107,400 RB), Pakistan (87,400 RB), Turkey (77,000 RB), China (73,400 RB), and Indonesia (24,700 RB). Net sales of Pima totaling 9,100 RB were down 68 percent from the previous week and 33 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Pakistan (3,500 RB), El Salvador (2,600 RB), China (2,500 RB), and India (1,500 RB, including decreases of 400 RB), were offset by reductions for Thailand (1,300 RB) and Japan (200 RB). Exports of 15,800 RB were down 13 percent from the previous week, but up 53 percent from the prior 4-week average. The primary destinations were India (5,400 RB), Pakistan (4,700 RB), China (2,000 RB), Bangladesh (1,100 RB), and Egypt (900 RB).
Exports for Own Account: For 2019/2020, new exports for own account totaling 1,000 RB were to Pakistan (500 RB) and South Korea (500 RB). Exports for own account totaling 2,800 RB to Indonesia (1,800 RB), Pakistan (500 RB), and India (400 RB) were applied to new or outstanding sales. Decreases were reported for India (500 RB). The current exports for own account outstanding balance of 27,900 RB is for Indonesia (16,100 RB), Bangladesh (5,300 RB), China (2,500 RB), India (2,400 RB), Vietnam (800 RB), South Korea (400 RB), and Malaysia (400 RB).
· Net sales of 116,800 wet blues for 2020 were down 6 percent from the previous week, but up 32 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Italy (61,900 unsplit), Thailand (19,900 unsplit), Vietnam (15,600 unsplit), China (14,900 unsplit), and India (3,000 unsplit), were offset by reductions for Italy (300 grain splits). Exports of 133,400 wet blues for 2020 were down 24 percent from the previous week and 7 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Italy (36,400 unsplit and 6,500 grain splits), China (42,100 unsplit), Vietnam (20,900 unsplit), Thailand (14,300 unsplit), and Mexico (3,900 grain splits and 1,000 unsplit). Net sales reductions of 900 splits resulting in increases for Italy (9,600 pounds) were more than offset by reductions for Vietnam (10,500 pounds). Exports of 523,400 pounds were to Vietnam (483,300 pounds) and Italy (40,100 pounds).
· Beef: Net sales of 12,900 MT reported for 2020 were down 8 percent from the previous week and 26 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were primarily for Japan (5,100 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), South Korea (2,000 MT, including decreases of 500 MT), Taiwan (1,900 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), Mexico (1,200 MT), and Canada (900 MT, including decreases of 100 MT). Exports of 16,600 MT were down 6 percent from the previous week and 7 from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Japan (6,100 MT), South Korea (4,300 MT), Mexico (1,900 MT), Canada (1,100 MT), and Taiwan (1,000 MT).
- Pork: Net sales of 33,700 MT reported for 2020 were down 13 percent from the previous week, but up 12 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were primarily for Mexico (17,500 MT), China (4,500 MT), Japan (3,800 MT), South Korea (3,300 MT), and Canada (1,400 MT). Exports of 43,500 MT were up 2 percent from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to China (17,500 MT), Mexico (10,800 MT), Japan (4,700 MT), South Korea (3,300 MT), and Canada (2,600 MT).
U.S. EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING 2/27/2020
|
CURRENT MARKETING YEAR |
NEXT MARKETING YEAR |
||||||
COMMODITY |
NET SALES |
OUTSTANDING SALES |
WEEKLY EXPORTS |
ACCUMULATED EXPORTS |
NET SALES |
OUTSTANDING SALES |
||
CURRENT YEAR |
YEAR |
CURRENT YEAR |
YEAR |
|||||
|
THOUSAND METRIC TONS |
|||||||
WHEAT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HRW |
157.3 |
1,775.6 |
2,586.1 |
241.4 |
6,828.0 |
5,209.0 |
8.0 |
95.1 |
SRW |
56.4 |
356.7 |
998.2 |
63.3 |
1,937.5 |
1,986.2 |
20.0 |
78.2 |
HRS |
216.4 |
1,574.6 |
1,463.5 |
178.8 |
5,230.1 |
4,894.5 |
0.0 |
122.0 |
WHITE |
112.3 |
1,057.1 |
1,148.2 |
165.2 |
3,591.4 |
3,826.0 |
0.0 |
20.9 |
DURUM |
0.0 |
148.4 |
111.9 |
0.0 |
679.8 |
358.1 |
0.0 |
111.0 |
TOTAL |
542.4 |
4,912.4 |
6,307.9 |
648.8 |
18,266.9 |
16,273.8 |
28.0 |
427.1 |
BARLEY |
0.0 |
14.9 |
26.8 |
0.6 |
34.3 |
32.3 |
0.0 |
31.0 |
CORN |
769.2 |
12,261.9 |
14,256.3 |
884.6 |
14,380.2 |
26,269.3 |
100.0 |
1,473.6 |
SORGHUM |
71.6 |
668.9 |
173.9 |
93.2 |
1,069.9 |
699.0 |
0.0 |
33.0 |
SOYBEANS |
345.0 |
4,432.3 |
12,712.5 |
695.6 |
29,633.0 |
26,482.0 |
1.4 |
343.4 |
SOY MEAL |
316.7 |
3,421.7 |
3,584.9 |
338.3 |
4,737.5 |
5,137.6 |
4.9 |
100.7 |
SOY OIL |
43.5 |
246.4 |
178.9 |
35.3 |
486.2 |
337.8 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
RICE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L G RGH |
10.7 |
393.7 |
412.0 |
32.1 |
863.9 |
662.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
M S RGH |
0.0 |
42.8 |
16.6 |
0.0 |
17.5 |
23.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
L G BRN |
3.2 |
14.2 |
5.4 |
0.4 |
33.7 |
27.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
M&S BR |
16.8 |
71.7 |
85.0 |
2.3 |
35.8 |
56.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
L G MLD |
3.1 |
91.7 |
91.9 |
19.3 |
612.5 |
542.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
M S MLD |
4.4 |
170.7 |
174.8 |
8.2 |
377.2 |
313.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
TOTAL |
38.2 |
784.8 |
785.8 |
62.4 |
1,940.5 |
1,626.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
COTTON |
|
THOUSAND RUNNING BALES |
||||||
UPLAND |
395.5 |
6,997.4 |
6,346.5 |
478.2 |
7,045.5 |
5,709.0 |
53.2 |
1,536.2 |
PIMA |
9.1 |
230.3 |
205.2 |
15.8 |
256.9 |
327.2 |
0.0 |
35.3 |
Terry Reilly
Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds
Futures International │190 S LaSalle St., Suite 410│Chicago, IL 60603
W: 312.604.1366
AIM: fi_treilly
ICE IM: treilly1
Skype: fi.treilly
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