From: Terry Reilly
Sent: Thursday, March 12, 2020 7:43:37 AM (UTC-06:00) Central Time (US & Canada)
Subject: FI Weekly USDA Export Sales Snapshot 03/12/20

PDF attached

 

Morning. Global market selloff continues.  

 

USDA export sales

·         Net reductions for 26,600 tons for pork sales was the biggest surprise today.  China cancelled 44,500 tons. 

·         Sorghum sales were 260,200 tons and included 175,500 tons for China and 71,000 tons for unknown. 

·         Soybean export sales were poor, meal low end of expectations (shipments of 341.5k were good), and soybean oil sales were ok.  Shipments of soybean oil were more than half of last week. 

·         Corn export sales were robust at 1.471 million tons, up from 769,200 tons last week. 

·         All-wheat sales of 452,300 tons were within expectations. 

 

 

 

 

 

USDA Export Sales Highlights   

This summary is based on reports from exporters for the period February 28 – March 5, 2020.

 

Exports for Own Account:  For 2019/2020, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 2,100 MT, all Canada.

Exports for Own Account:  For 2019/2020, new exports for own account totaling 18,700 RB were to Indonesia (17,900 RB) and Pakistan (800 RB).  Exports for own account totaling 6,500 RB to Indonesia (5,200 RB), Pakistan (800 RB), and Vietnam (500 RB) were applied to new or outstanding sales.  Decreases were reported for India (800 RB).  The current exports for own account outstanding balance of 39,400 RB is for Indonesia (28,800 RB), Bangladesh (5,300 RB), China (2,500 RB), India (1,700 RB), South Korea (400 RB), Malaysia (400 RB), and Vietnam (300 RB).

·         Hides and Skins: Net sales of 356,000 pieces for 2020 were up 5 percent from the previous week and 19 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (173,600 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 5,800 pieces), South Korea (53,900 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 1,300 pieces), Mexico (46,700 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 1,600 pieces), Thailand (26,200 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 2,100 pieces), and Indonesia (18,900 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 500 pieces), were offset by reductions for Canada (3,200 kip skins).  Exports of 373,700 pieces reported for 2020 were up 16 percent from the previous week, but down 4 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Whole cattle hide exports were primarily to China (182,200 pieces), South Korea (66,100 pieces), Mexico (54,900 pieces), Thailand (34,000 pieces), and Taiwan (17,000 pieces).  Whole kip skins exports of 6,800 pieces were primarily to Belgium (5,500 pieces).

·         Net sales of 100,000 wet blues for 2020 were down 14 percent from the previous week and 9 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Vietnam (42,600 unsplit, including decreases of 500 grain splits), China (28,200 unsplit and 6,600 grain splits), Italy (10,900 unsplit and 3,200 grain splits), Thailand (7,900 unsplit), and Mexico (1,100 grain splits).  Exports of 129,600 wet blues for 2020 were down 3 percent from the previous week and 12 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Vietnam (40,600 unsplit), China (23,900 unsplit and 5,700 grain splits), Italy (25,000 unsplit and 2,000 grain splits), Thailand (26,800 unsplit), and South Korea (3,700 grain splits).  Net sales of 16,500 splits resulting in increases primarily for Italy (12,100 pounds) and Vietnam (4,100 pounds), were offset by reductions for South Korea (3,200 pounds).  Exports of 248,700 pounds were to Vietnam (200,900 pounds), Italy (42,600 pounds), South Korea (3,600 pounds), and China (1,600 pounds).

·         Beef: Net sales of 17,700 MT reported for 2020 were up 38 percent from the previous week and 11 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Japan (5,000 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), South Korea (4,300 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), Taiwan (2,300 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), Mexico (1,500 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), and Hong Kong (1,100 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Honduras (100 MT).  Exports of 16,200 MT were down 2 percent from the previous week and 6 from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Japan (5,300 MT), South Korea (4,500 MT), Mexico (1,600 MT), Taiwan (1,400 MT), and Canada (1,000 MT).

  • Export Adjustments:  Accumulated exports of beef to Honduras were adjusted down 89 MT and Bahamas were adjusted down 18 MT for week ending February 27th.  These exports were reported in error.
  • Pork: For 2020, net sales reductions of 26,600 MT–a marketing-year low–were down noticeably from the previous week and the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Canada (6,700 MT), Mexico (5,800 MT), Japan (4,200 MT), Australia (700 MT), and Colombia (600 MT), were more than offset by reductions primarily for China (45,200 MT).  Exports of 44,500 MT–a marketing-year high–were up 2 percent from the previous week and 4 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (16,100 MT), Mexico (10,700 MT), Japan (5,300 MT), South Korea (4,100 MT), and Canada (2,600 MT).

 

 

U.S. EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING 3/5/2020

 

CURRENT MARKETING YEAR

NEXT MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

WEEKLY EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED EXPORTS

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR
AGO

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR
AGO

 

THOUSAND METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   HRW    

169.3

1,779.4

2,425.4

165.5

6,993.6

5,538.2

5.0

100.1

   SRW    

6.7

336.8

881.3

26.6

1,964.1

2,121.1

3.5

81.7

   HRS     

171.6

1,606.9

1,373.9

139.3

5,369.5

5,000.0

20.0

142.0

   WHITE   

104.6

1,046.0

1,037.1

115.8

3,707.2

3,997.6

0.0

20.9

   DURUM  

0.0

148.4

109.9

0.0

679.8

360.3

0.0

111.0

     TOTAL

452.3

4,917.3

5,827.6

447.3

18,714.2

17,017.1

28.5

455.6

BARLEY

0.0

14.9

27.7

0.0

34.3

32.5

0.0

31.0

CORN

1,471.2

12,881.3

13,842.5

851.7

15,231.9

27,055.1

128.1

1,601.7

SORGHUM

260.2

915.9

173.7

13.2

1,083.1

708.7

0.0

33.0

SOYBEANS

302.8

4,167.5

13,804.5

567.6

30,200.7

27,301.8

1.4

344.8

SOY MEAL

171.8

3,252.0

3,618.7

341.5

5,078.9

5,329.8

0.1

100.8

SOY OIL

24.7

257.1

157.4

13.9

500.1

373.4

0.0

0.5

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   L G RGH

-1.3

376.7

374.9

15.7

879.6

669.5

0.0

0.0

   M S RGH

8.1

50.9

15.9

0.0

17.5

24.6

0.0

0.0

   L G BRN

0.2

13.2

6.7

1.3

35.0

28.4

0.0

0.0

   M&S BR

0.3

69.6

83.3

2.4

38.1

57.9

0.0

0.0

   L G MLD

3.7

60.7

64.1

34.7

647.2

574.1

0.0

0.0

   M S MLD

31.5

194.0

172.0

8.2

385.4

322.4

0.0

0.0

     TOTAL

42.5

765.1

716.9

62.3

2,002.8

1,676.8

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

484.2

7,057.0

6,225.6

424.6

7,470.1

5,996.0

160.4

1,696.5

   PIMA

17.3

232.8

221.5

14.8

271.7

340.2

0.0

35.3

 

 

 

Terry Reilly

Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds

Futures International │190 S LaSalle St., Suite 410│Chicago, IL  60603

W: 312.604.1366

treilly@futures-int.com

AIM: fi_treilly

ICE IM:  treilly1

Skype: fi.treilly

 

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