Prices as of 10:08 AM CST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Price

Previous Settle

% Change

Change

Volume

 

 

Natural Gas

$2.548

$2.497

2.04%

$0.051

42,456

 

 

WTI

$78.61

$78.89

-0.35%

-$0.28

204,370

 

 

Brent

$82.90

$83.21

-0.37%

-$0.31

14,718

 

 

ULSD

$3.129

$3.129

-0.01%

$0.000

5,702

 

 

RBOB

$2.761

$2.769

-0.27%

-$0.007

9,375

 

 

 

 

Spreads

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current

Previous

% Change

Change

Contract

 

 

WTI-Brent

$4.32

$4.32

0.00%

$0.00

Oct-23

 

 

3:2:1 Crack

$36.91

$36.21

1.95%

$0.71

Oct-23

 

 

PJM West Spark

$33.95

$34.32

-1.08%

-$0.37

Sep-23

 

 

 

 

Baker Hughes Rig Count

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

Count

Change

1 Year Chg.

1 Year Date

 

 

U.S.

08/18/23

642

-12

-120

08/19/22

 

 

Canada

08/18/23

189

-1

-12

08/19/22

 

 

International

July

961

-6

128

July

 

 

 

 

CFTC Net Positions

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of 8/15/2023

Open Interest

Total Net Long

Total Net Short

Diff

 

 

PJM West On Peak

104,865

104,438

104,444

-6

 

 

PJM West Off Peak

92,925

92,662

92,298

364

 

 

Natural Gas Henry Hub

425,165

400,368

412,275

-11,907

 

 

WTI – Light Sweet Crude Futures

137,084

108,825

104,559

4,266

 

 

Brent Crude Last Day

132,216

123,503

125,591

-2,088

 

 

NYM Ethanol

34,594

34,334

34,199

135

 

 

Mt Belvieu LDH Propane Swap

152,387

151,655

151,861

-206

 

 

RBOB

378,534

352,617

362,962

-10,345

 

 

HSC Basis

596,975

590,423

586,112

4,311

 

 

 

 

EIA Short Term Energy Outlook

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021

2022

2023projected

2024projected

 

 

Brent

$70.89

$100.94

$79.54

$83.51

 

 

Gasoline

$3.02

$3.97

$3.39

$3.30

 

 

Crude Oil Production

11.25

11.89

12.61

12.77

 

 

Natural Gas Spot

$3.91

$6.42

$2.66

$3.42

 

 

LNG Exports

9.76

10.59

12.07

12.73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electrical Generation %

2021

2022

2023projected

2024projected

 

 

Natural gas

37.00%

39.00%

41.00%

39.00%

 

 

Coal

23.00%

20.00%

16.00%

16.00%

 

 

Renewables

20.00%

22.00%

23.00%

25.00%

 

 

Nuclear

20.00%

19.00%

19.00%

19.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term Energy Outlook

 

Natural Gas Storage

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EIA Lower 48 Natural Gas Storage

 

 

 

 

08/24/18

 

 

 

8/18/23

8/11/23

Net Change

% Change

8/19/22

% Change

5 Year Avg.

% Change

 

 

East

731

717

14

1.95%

598

22.24%

675

8.36%

 

 

Midwest

831

812

19

2.34%

714

16.39%

777

6.89%

 

 

Mountain

206

202

4

1.98%

153

34.64%

177

16.38%

 

 

Pacific

242

240

2

0.83%

243

-0.41%

262

-7.70%

 

 

South

1,072

1,093

-21

-1.92%

871

23.08%

955

12.23%

 

 

    Salt

260

272

-12

-4.41%

184

41.30%

223

16.70%

 

 

    Non_Salt

813

821

-8

-0.97%

687

18.34%

733

10.97%

 

 

Total

3,083

3,065

18

0.59%

2,579

19.54%

2,846

8.31%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Generation Additions/Retirements

 

 

  

 

Front Month Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

PJM West On Peak

Sep-23

$39.41

$39.66

-0.64%

-$0.25

$40.36

-2.36%

$74.95

-47.42%

 

 

ERCOT North On Peak

Sep-23

$110.04

$112.74

-2.40%

-$2.71

$55.09

99.73%

$76.39

44.05%

 

 

CAISO SP 15 On Peak

Sep-23

$80.04

$82.33

-2.78%

-$2.29

$117.56

-31.92%

$115.25

-30.55%

 

 

MISO Indiana On Peak

Sep-23

$43.15

$44.05

-2.04%

-$0.90

$46.59

-7.39%

$77.75

-44.50%

 

 

NEISO Mass On Peak

Sep-23

$31.22

$31.57

-1.12%

-$0.35

$34.50

-9.52%

$64.34

-51.48%

 

 

WECC Mid C On Peak

Sep-23

$107.14

$113.57

-5.66%

-$6.43

$174.11

-38.47%

$129.51

-17.27%

 

 

NYISO Zone G On Peak

Sep-23

$32.32

$32.67

-1.06%

-$0.35

$35.68

-9.41%

$60.35

-46.45%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas & Basis

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

NYMEX Henry Hub

Sep-23

$2.497

$2.560

-2.46%

-$0.06

$2.69

-7.28%

$5.64

-55.70%

 

 

Houston Ship Channel

Sep-23

-$0.236

-$0.218

8.35%

-$0.02

-$0.25

-4.45%

-$0.20

19.67%

 

 

Chicago

Sep-23

-$0.253

-$0.251

-0.87%

$0.00

-$0.31

-18.81%

-$0.31

-19.07%

 

 

Waha

Sep-23

-$0.717

-$0.564

-27.15%

-$0.15

-$0.53

34.46%

-$2.05

-64.91%

 

 

Algonquin

Sep-23

-$1.206

-$1.201

-0.38%

$0.00

-$0.92

30.65%

-$1.19

1.50%

 

 

Aeco

Sep-23

-$0.565

-$0.581

-2.69%

$0.02

-$0.72

-21.48%

-$2.00

-71.68%

 

 

Socal

Sep-23

$1.387

$1.503

-7.75%

-$0.12

$1.49

-6.66%

$0.70

98.04%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas Liquids

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane LST

Sep-23

$0.659

$0.660

-0.19%

$0.00

$0.69

-5.15%

$0.96

-31.27%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane non LST

Sep-23

$0.650

$0.650

0.00%

$0.00

$0.69

-5.61%

$0.95

-31.64%

 

 

Mt. Belview Ethane

Sep-23

$0.272

$0.272

0.00%

$0.00

$0.24

14.23%

$0.41

-33.86%

 

 

Mt. Belview Nat. Gasoline

Sep-23

$1.523

$1.547

-1.57%

-$0.02

$1.50

1.57%

$1.65

-7.57%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Butane LST

Sep-23

$0.800

$0.801

-0.10%

$0.00

$0.80

0.13%

$1.11

-27.77%

 

 

Conway Propane

Sep-23

$0.650

$0.650

0.00%

$0.00

$0.68

-4.36%

$0.97

-33.22%

 

 

Conway Nat. Gasoline

Sep-23

$1.577

$1.603

-1.66%

-$0.03

$1.56

0.97%

$1.72

-8.23%

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

WTI

Oct-23

$78.89

$79.64

-0.95%

-$0.75

$78.40

0.62%

$84.74

-6.90%

 

 

Brent

Oct-23

$83.21

$84.03

-0.99%

-$0.82

$82.56

0.79%

$90.14

-7.69%

 

 

WCS

Oct-23

-$19.42

-$19.49

-0.31%

$0.06

-$17.52

10.86%

-$17.68

9.86%

 

 

LLS

Oct-23

$80.22

$81.29

-1.34%

-$1.07

$79.91

0.38%

$86.57

-7.34%

 

 

Mars

Oct-23

$78.26

$79.55

-1.65%

-$1.29

$77.73

0.68%

$82.39

-5.02%

 

 

Sour

Oct-23

$78.55

$80.23

-2.14%

-$1.68

$78.28

0.34%

$83.30

-5.71%

 

 

ESPO

Oct-23

$81.21

$82.03

-1.01%

-$0.82

$80.56

0.81%

$86.73

-6.36%

 

 

 

 

Refined Products

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

NY Heating Oil

Sep-23

$3.13

$3.14

-0.41%

-$0.01

$2.84

10.41%

$3.17

-1.23%

 

 

NY Gasoline

Sep-23

$2.77

$2.79

-0.72%

-$0.02

$2.84

-2.33%

$2.53

9.58%

 

 

GC Gasoline

Sep-23

$2.67

$2.69

-0.74%

-$0.02

$2.73

-2.41%

$2.43

9.97%

 

 

GC Jet

Sep-23

$3.01

$3.05

-1.12%

-$0.03

$2.64

13.91%

$2.92

3.15%

 

 

Chicago Ethanol

Sep-23

$2.13

$2.09

1.96%

$0.04

$2.27

-6.03%

$2.21

-3.57%

 

 

Rotterdam Gasoil

Sep-23

$864.00

$863.98

0.00%

$0.02

$771.70

11.96%

$853.88

1.18%

 

 

Singapore Jet Kero

Sep-23

$114.36

$117.51

-2.68%

-$3.15

$103.74

10.24%

$117.86

-2.96%

 

 

 

 

Implied Volatilities

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

Henry Hub Straddle

Oct-23

78.90%

75.75%

4.16%

3.15%

61.53%

28.23%

60.35%

30.74%

 

 

Algonquin Straddle

Oct-23

97.45%

96.04%

1.47%

1.41%

79.15%

23.12%

69.37%

40.48%

 

 

Waha Straddle

Oct-23

111.72%

103.77%

7.66%

7.95%

85.88%

30.09%

132.82%

-15.89%

 

 

Chicago Straddle

Oct-23

85.07%

82.33%

3.33%

2.74%

72.80%

16.85%

60.73%

40.08%

 

 

PJM West Straddle

Oct-23

50.00%

47.29%

5.73%

2.71%

49.50%

1.01%

48.55%

2.99%

 

 

SP – 15 Straddle

Oct-23

184.35%

169.35%

8.86%

15.00%

94.37%

95.35%

53.69%

243.36%

 

 

Mid. C Straddle

Oct-23

344.94%

343.75%

0.35%

1.19%

173.47%

98.85%

71.76%

380.69%

 

 

 

 

Euro Gas and Power/LNG

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

8/23/23

8/22/23

% Change

Change

7/26/23

% Change

8/24/22

% Change

 

 

Dutch TTF

Oct-23

EUR 40.81

EUR 47.78

-14.60%

-EUR 6.98

EUR 34.76

17.40%

EUR 249.62

-83.65%

 

 

NBP

Oct-23

GBP 101.52

GBP 119.14

-14.79%

-GBP 17.63

GBP 86.09

17.92%

GBP 607.44

-83.29%

 

 

German Base

Oct-23

EUR 116.75

EUR 121.53

-3.93%

-EUR 4.78

EUR 97.73

19.46%

EUR 634.85

-81.61%

 

 

UK Base

Oct-23

GBP 96.86

GBP 109.55

-11.58%

-GBP 12.69

GBP 86.20

12.38%

GBP 508.34

-80.94%

 

 

French Base

Oct-23

EUR 122.56

EUR 126.47

-3.09%

-EUR 3.91

EUR 101.79

20.40%

EUR 795.24

-84.59%

 

 

Italian Base

Oct-23

EUR 134.73

EUR 142.37

-5.36%

-EUR 7.63

EUR 119.48

12.76%

EUR 549.74

-75.49%

 

 

JKM LNG

Oct-23

$12.69

$13.27

-4.35%

-$0.58

$10.98

15.51%

$65.18

-80.53%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cooling Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

08/19/2023

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

31

-2

4

420

65

-99

18.00%

-19.00%

 

 

Middle Atlantic

49

2

12

542

11

-114

2.00%

-17.00%

 

 

E N Central

23

-22

-5

498

-82

-159

-14.00%

-24.00%

 

 

W N Central

41

-18

-9

749

2

-109

0.00%

-13.00%

 

 

South Atlantic

101

12

27

1,427

72

-120

5.00%

-8.00%

 

 

E S Central

82

-4

10

1,151

7

-184

1.00%

-14.00%

 

 

W S Central

143

22

19

2,010

274

-136

16.00%

-6.00%

 

 

Mountain

78

8

9

895

-15

-111

-2.00%

-11.00%

 

 

Pacific

72

28

-3

485

18

-120

4.00%

-20.00%

 

 

United States

71

4

8

923

36

-129

4.00%

-12.00%

 

 

 

 

Heating Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08/19/2023

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

3

-2

-1

13

-9

3

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

Middle Atlantic

1

-3

-2

4

-11

0

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

E N Central

8

3

1

16

-6

0

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

W N Central

5

-1

3

22

-4

14

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

South Atlantic

0

0

0

0

0

0

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

E S Central

0

0

0

0

0

0

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

W S Central

0

0

0

0

0

0

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

Mountain

1

-5

1

6

-23

5

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

Pacific

0

-5

0

3

-31

-5

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

United States

2

-1

0

6

-10

1

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas * Power * NGL * Crude * Products * Vol Charts

 

 

 

 

 

Weather Forecast & Seasonal Outlook

 

Tropical Outlook

 

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