Prices as of 8:28 AM CST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Price

Previous Settle

% Change

Change

Volume

 

 

Natural Gas

$2.896

$2.929

-1.13%

-$0.033

22,356

 

 

WTI

$90.96

$90.79

0.19%

$0.17

89,471

 

 

Brent

$92.58

$95.31

-2.86%

-$2.73

10,690

 

 

ULSD

$3.293

$3.362

-2.06%

-$0.069

6,987

 

 

RBOB

$2.431

$2.440

-0.36%

-$0.009

8,407

 

 

 

 

Spreads

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current

Previous

% Change

Change

Contract

 

 

WTI-Brent

$3.48

$3.40

2.35%

$0.08

Dec-23

 

 

3:2:1 Crack

$21.66

$21.20

2.17%

$0.46

Nov-23

 

 

PJM West Spark

NA

NA

NA

NA

Oct-23

 

 

 

 

Baker Hughes Rig Count

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

Count

Change

1 Year Chg.

1 Year Date

 

 

U.S.

09/29/23

623

-7

-142

09/30/22

 

 

Canada

09/29/23

191

1

-22

09/30/22

 

 

International

August

952

-9

92

August

 

 

 

 

CFTC Net Positions

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of 9/26/2023

Open Interest

Total Net Long

Total Net Short

Diff

 

 

PJM West On Peak

100,995

100,567

100,615

-48

 

 

PJM West Off Peak

87,225

86,535

86,669

-134

 

 

Natural Gas Henry Hub

428,350

404,910

416,947

-12,037

 

 

WTI – Light Sweet Crude Futures

156,962

133,382

117,952

15,430

 

 

Brent Crude Last Day

137,666

129,508

129,923

-415

 

 

NYM Ethanol

40,896

40,313

40,447

-134

 

 

Mt Belvieu LDH Propane Swap

152,285

151,663

151,999

-336

 

 

RBOB

356,733

330,585

342,275

-11,690

 

 

HSC Basis

641,342

635,137

633,476

1,661

 

 

 

 

EIA Short Term Energy Outlook

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021

2022

2023projected

2024projected

 

 

Brent

$70.89

$100.94

$79.54

$83.51

 

 

Gasoline

$3.02

$3.97

$3.39

$3.30

 

 

Crude Oil Production

11.25

11.89

12.61

12.77

 

 

Natural Gas Spot

$3.91

$6.42

$2.66

$3.42

 

 

LNG Exports

9.76

10.59

12.07

12.73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electrical Generation %

2021

2022

2023projected

2024projected

 

 

Natural gas

37.00%

39.00%

41.00%

39.00%

 

 

Coal

23.00%

20.00%

16.00%

16.00%

 

 

Renewables

20.00%

22.00%

23.00%

25.00%

 

 

Nuclear

20.00%

19.00%

19.00%

19.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term Energy Outlook

 

Natural Gas Storage

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EIA Lower 48 Natural Gas Storage

 

 

 

 

09/28/18

 

 

 

9/22/23

9/15/23

Net Change

% Change

9/23/22

% Change

5 Year Avg.

% Change

 

 

East

821

793

28

3.53%

721

13.87%

792

3.64%

 

 

Midwest

962

931

31

3.33%

879

9.44%

931

3.33%

 

 

Mountain

234

228

6

2.63%

176

32.95%

197

18.90%

 

 

Pacific

271

263

8

3.04%

243

11.52%

271

0.00%

 

 

South

1,071

1,053

18

1.71%

958

11.80%

1,027

4.32%

 

 

    Salt

250

242

8

3.31%

204

22.55%

240

3.99%

 

 

    Non_Salt

821

811

10

1.23%

754

8.89%

786

4.45%

 

 

Total

3,359

3,269

90

2.75%

2,977

12.83%

3,217

4.41%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Generation Additions/Retirements

 

 

  

 

Front Month Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

PJM West On Peak

Oct-23

$43.58

$43.62

-0.08%

-$0.03

$37.25

17.00%

$67.76

-35.68%

 

 

ERCOT North On Peak

Oct-23

$54.53

$56.76

-3.92%

-$2.23

$49.80

9.50%

$59.36

-8.13%

 

 

CAISO SP 15 On Peak

Oct-23

$47.64

$42.69

11.61%

$4.96

$62.11

-23.29%

$75.67

-37.03%

 

 

MISO Indiana On Peak

Oct-23

$45.44

$45.77

-0.72%

-$0.33

$41.66

9.07%

$69.45

-34.57%

 

 

NEISO Mass On Peak

Oct-23

$33.33

$32.78

1.66%

$0.54

$46.30

-28.01%

$63.87

-47.82%

 

 

WECC Mid C On Peak

Oct-23

$75.93

$72.39

4.89%

$3.54

$74.14

2.42%

$86.88

-12.60%

 

 

NYISO Zone G On Peak

Oct-23

$31.87

$31.35

1.66%

$0.52

$35.23

-9.54%

$55.56

-42.64%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas & Basis

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

NYMEX Henry Hub

Nov-23

$2.929

$2.945

-0.54%

-$0.02

$3.15

-6.93%

$5.26

-44.37%

 

 

Houston Ship Channel

Nov-23

-$0.427

-$0.400

6.75%

-$0.03

-$0.34

27.49%

-$0.37

14.17%

 

 

Chicago

Nov-23

-$0.250

-$0.239

-4.37%

-$0.01

-$0.15

66.13%

-$0.25

-0.87%

 

 

Waha

Nov-23

-$0.943

-$0.919

-2.62%

-$0.02

-$0.77

22.14%

-$1.56

-39.73%

 

 

Algonquin

Nov-23

$0.882

$0.964

-8.52%

-$0.08

$1.23

-28.29%

$4.95

-82.19%

 

 

Aeco

Nov-23

-$0.883

-$0.918

-3.73%

$0.03

-$0.78

13.87%

-$1.62

-45.47%

 

 

Socal

Nov-23

$2.129

$2.224

-4.23%

-$0.09

$2.70

-21.07%

$0.26

704.50%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas Liquids

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane LST

Oct-23

$0.720

$0.737

-2.37%

-$0.02

$0.71

1.37%

$0.80

-9.82%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane non LST

Oct-23

$0.730

$0.734

-0.50%

$0.00

$0.71

2.97%

$0.84

-12.72%

 

 

Mt. Belview Ethane

Oct-23

$0.278

$0.271

2.31%

$0.01

$0.28

0.47%

$0.33

-16.69%

 

 

Mt. Belview Nat. Gasoline

Oct-23

$1.650

$1.699

-2.91%

-$0.05

$1.64

0.40%

$1.51

9.12%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Butane LST

Oct-23

$0.879

$0.877

0.16%

$0.00

$0.88

0.13%

$0.82

6.70%

 

 

Conway Propane

Oct-23

$0.700

$0.707

-1.04%

-$0.01

$0.72

-2.16%

$0.82

-14.14%

 

 

Conway Nat. Gasoline

Oct-23

$1.842

$1.864

-1.19%

-$0.02

$1.69

8.83%

$1.56

18.05%

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

WTI

Nov-23

$90.79

$91.71

-1.01%

-$0.92

$82.96

9.44%

$70.12

29.48%

 

 

Brent

Nov-23

$93.07

$95.38

-2.48%

-$2.31

$86.83

7.18%

$75.24

23.69%

 

 

WCS

Nov-23

-$20.72

-$18.25

11.91%

-$2.47

-$15.04

37.76%

-$17.42

18.95%

 

 

LLS

Nov-23

$89.96

$90.56

-0.66%

-$0.60

$82.96

8.44%

$73.07

23.13%

 

 

Mars

Nov-23

$86.99

$87.23

-0.27%

-$0.23

$81.15

7.21%

$69.38

25.39%

 

 

Sour

Nov-23

$89.42

$90.15

-0.82%

-$0.73

$82.28

8.67%

$69.33

28.96%

 

 

ESPO

Nov-23

$91.07

$93.38

-2.54%

-$2.31

$84.83

7.35%

$72.47

25.66%

 

 

 

 

Refined Products

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

NY Heating Oil

Oct-23

$3.35

$3.33

0.60%

$0.02

$3.06

9.55%

$2.69

24.39%

 

 

NY Gasoline

Oct-23

$2.43

$2.49

-2.29%

-$0.06

$2.59

-5.98%

$2.12

14.70%

 

 

GC Gasoline

Oct-23

$2.34

$2.39

-2.38%

-$0.06

$2.49

-6.22%

$2.02

15.42%

 

 

GC Jet

Oct-23

$3.09

$3.13

-1.18%

-$0.04

$2.84

8.81%

$2.47

25.01%

 

 

Chicago Ethanol

Oct-23

$2.21

$2.24

-1.34%

-$0.03

$2.13

3.65%

$2.09

6.09%

 

 

Rotterdam Gasoil

Oct-23

$937.83

$932.53

0.57%

$5.30

$818.01

14.65%

$772.10

21.46%

 

 

Singapore Jet Kero

Oct-23

$122.22

$122.17

0.04%

$0.05

$110.95

10.16%

$100.18

22.01%

 

 

 

 

Implied Volatilities

 

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

Henry Hub Straddle

Nov-23

59.02%

59.21%

-0.32%

-0.19%

60.87%

-3.04%

56.23%

4.96%

 

 

Algonquin Straddle

Nov-23

71.51%

74.67%

-4.23%

-3.16%

75.86%

-5.73%

86.30%

-17.14%

 

 

Waha Straddle

Nov-23

94.10%

88.91%

5.84%

5.19%

87.26%

7.84%

73.19%

28.57%

 

 

Chicago Straddle

Nov-23

69.04%

69.39%

-0.50%

-0.35%

63.96%

7.94%

60.04%

14.99%

 

 

PJM West Straddle

Nov-23

58.75%

57.93%

1.42%

0.82%

56.26%

4.43%

49.03%

19.82%

 

 

SP – 15 Straddle

Nov-23

177.98%

158.74%

12.12%

19.24%

102.10%

74.32%

48.32%

268.34%

 

 

Mid. C Straddle

Nov-23

278.92%

235.22%

18.58%

43.70%

145.36%

91.88%

74.18%

276.00%

 

 

 

 

Euro Gas and Power/LNG

 

 

EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

9/29/23

9/28/23

% Change

Change

8/31/23

% Change

9/30/22

% Change

 

 

Dutch TTF

Nov-23

EUR 42.54

EUR 43.14

-1.40%

-EUR 0.60

EUR 46.27

-8.08%

EUR 175.14

-75.71%

 

 

NBP

Nov-23

GBP 107.56

GBP 109.71

-1.96%

-GBP 2.15

GBP 114.11

-5.74%

GBP 434.18

-75.23%

 

 

German Base

Nov-23

EUR 108.57

EUR 113.18

-4.07%

-EUR 4.60

EUR 125.05

-13.17%

EUR 506.01

-78.54%

 

 

UK Base

Nov-23

GBP 96.08

GBP 102.66

-6.41%

-GBP 6.58

GBP 111.71

-13.99%

GBP 369.05

-73.97%

 

 

French Base

Nov-23

EUR 111.22

EUR 114.73

-3.06%

-EUR 3.51

EUR 141.35

-21.32%

EUR 580.85

-80.85%

 

 

Italian Base

Nov-23

EUR 128.55

EUR 131.77

-2.44%

-EUR 3.22

EUR 142.62

-9.87%

EUR 400.66

-67.92%

 

 

JKM LNG

Nov-23

$15.26

$15.11

0.97%

$0.15

$12.96

17.71%

$39.32

-61.20%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cooling Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

09/30/2023

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

0

-1

0

547

130

-104

31.00%

-16.00%

 

 

Middle Atlantic

0

-5

0

692

41

-163

6.00%

-19.00%

 

 

E N Central

8

2

8

646

-55

-179

-8.00%

-22.00%

 

 

W N Central

38

29

33

1,026

111

-60

12.00%

-6.00%

 

 

South Atlantic

47

1

13

1,872

116

-111

7.00%

-6.00%

 

 

E S Central

51

20

31

1,576

91

-129

6.00%

-8.00%

 

 

W S Central

106

47

41

2,727

453

11

20.00%

0.00%

 

 

Mountain

30

3

-8

1,178

-6

-156

-1.00%

-12.00%

 

 

Pacific

5

-15

-42

643

-20

-276

-3.00%

-30.00%

 

 

United States

30

6

5

1,225

84

-141

7.00%

-10.00%

 

 

 

 

Heating Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

09/30/2023

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

60

0

0

134

-56

-5

-29.00%

-3.00%

 

 

Middle Atlantic

39

-7

-13

85

-42

2

-33.00%

2.00%

 

 

E N Central

21

-28

-53

120

-36

-14

-23.00%

-10.00%

 

 

W N Central

10

-40

-46

92

-91

-22

-50.00%

-19.00%

 

 

South Atlantic

9

-5

-14

18

-7

-10

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

E S Central

2

-16

-30

10

-23

-30

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

W S Central

0

-4

-4

1

-8

-4

-999.00%

-999.00%

 

 

Mountain

28

-18

9

90

-93

28

-51.00%

45.00%

 

 

Pacific

24

3

19

60

-48

27

-44.00%

82.00%

 

 

United States

20

-10

-15

64

-37

-2

-37.00%

-2.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas * Power * NGL * Crude * Products * Vol Charts

 

 

 

 

 

Weather Forecast & Seasonal Outlook

 

Tropical Outlook

 

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