From: Terry Reilly
Sent: Thursday, July 12, 2018 9:33:52 AM (UTC-06:00) Central Time (US & Canada)
Subject: FI USDA report snapshot – before the report
FI convenience table attached and Reuters below
TABLE-USDA July crop supply/demand report estimates – Reuters News
10-Jul-2018 12:45:19 PM
CHICAGO, July 10 (Reuters) – The following tables summarize trade expectations for the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, which is scheduled for release at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT) on Thursday.
U.S. ending stocks and wheat production figures are quoted in billions of bushels. World ending stocks and production figures are quoted in millions of tonnes.
USDA 2018-19 U.S. corn and soybean production
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA June |
|
2018-19 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
2018-19 |
|
estimate |
estimates |
estimates |
estimate |
|
Corn |
||||
production |
14.269 |
14.045-14.683 |
14.040 |
|
Corn yield |
174.9 |
172.6-179.5 |
174.0 |
|
Soy production |
4.314 |
4.200-4.402 |
4.280 |
|
Soy yield |
48.6 |
47.0-49.5 |
48.5 |
USDA 2017-18 U.S. grain and soybean ending stocks
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA June |
|
2017-18 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
2017-18 |
|
end-stocks |
estimates |
estimates |
end-stocks |
|
estimates |
estimates |
|||
Corn |
_______ |
2.107 |
2.052-2.177 |
2.102 |
Soybeans |
_______ |
0.507 |
0.478-0.530 |
0.505 |
USDA 2018-19 U.S. grain and soybean ending stocks
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA June |
|
2018-19 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
2018-19 |
|
end-stocks |
estimates |
estimates |
end-stocks |
|
estimates |
estimates |
|||
Wheat |
_______ |
0.973 |
0.924-1.021 |
0.946 |
Corn |
_______ |
1.712 |
1.545-1.922 |
1.577 |
Soybeans |
_______ |
0.471 |
0.390-0.571 |
0.385 |
USDA 2017-18 world grain and soybean ending stocks
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA June |
|
2017-18 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
2017-18 |
|
end-stocks |
estimates |
estimates |
end-stocks |
|
estimates |
estimates |
|||
Wheat |
________ |
272.46 |
271.00-274.50 |
272.37 |
Corn |
________ |
191.42 |
189.50-192.88 |
192.69 |
Soybeans |
________ |
91.76 |
89.00-93.00 |
92.49 |
USDA 2018-19 world grain and soybean ending stocks
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA June |
|
2018-19 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
2018-19 |
|
end-stocks |
estimates |
estimates |
end-stocks |
|
estimates |
estimates |
|||
Wheat |
________ |
265.05 |
262.00-268.00 |
266.16 |
Corn |
________ |
156.27 |
151.00-163.00 |
154.69 |
Soybeans |
________ |
88.15 |
85.00-92.00 |
87.02 |
USDA 2018-19 U.S. wheat production
USDA July |
Average of |
Range of |
USDA |
|
2018-19 |
analysts’ |
analysts’ |
June |
|
estimate |
estimates |
estimates |
estimates |
|
All wheat |
_______ |
1.858 |
1.825-1.923 |
1.827 |
All winter |
_______ |
1.196 |
1.178-1.218 |
1.198 |
Hard red winter |
_______ |
0.650 |
0.634-0.675 |
0.650 |
Soft red winter |
_______ |
0.316 |
0.305-0.334 |
0.316 |
White winter |
_______ |
0.229 |
0.202-0.244 |
0.232 |
Other spring |
_______ |
0.599 |
0.568-0.646 |
NA |
Durum |
_______ |
0.072 |
0.060-0.083 |
NA |
USDA world production
July USDA |
June USDA |
July USDA |
June USDA |
|
2017-18 |
2017-18 |
2018-19 |
2018-19 |
|
estimate |
estimate |
estimate |
estimate |
|
Argentina wheat |
_____ |
18.00 |
_____ |
19.50 |
Australia wheat |
_____ |
21.50 |
_____ |
24.00 |
Canada wheat |
_____ |
30.00 |
_____ |
32.50 |
Russia wheat |
_____ |
84.99 |
_____ |
68.50 |
Argentina corn |
_____ |
33.00 |
_____ |
41.00 |
Brazil corn |
_____ |
85.00 |
_____ |
96.00 |
South Africa corn |
_____ |
13.50 |
____ |
14.00 |
China corn |
______ |
215.89 |
______ |
225.00 |
Ukraine corn |
_____ |
24.12 |
_____ |
30.00 |
Argentina soy |
_____ |
37.00 |
_____ |
56.00 |
Brazil soy |
______ |
119.00 |
______ |
118.00 |
(Reporting by Julie Ingwersen)
(( Julie.ingwersen@thomsonreuters.com ; 1-312-408-8710; Reuters Messaging: julie.ingwersen.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net ))
(c) Copyright Thomson Reuters 2018. Click For Restrictions – agency.reuters.com/en/copyright.html
Keywords: USA-GRAINS/USDA (TABLE)
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Terry Reilly
Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds
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